I actually reckon most punters that have abandoned going to or watching rugby have done so simply because the results are crap. Not directly because they take issue with the administration. Simply because they don't think it out that far. Most that I know who have lost interest fit this bill.
I appreciate that the poor results have their genesis in many factors including poor oversight, the flow on effect of poor coaching, recruitment and structures etc., but it's the actual on-field product itself that turns people off. Fair weather fans probably wouldn't bother trying to join the dots.
Just my opinion.
Are Australian rugby fans that shallow and fickle?
It isn't like Australia is that bad - we just play NZ a lot so we look worse. The Waratahs won super rugby a couple of years ago. The Brumbies top the Australian conference and aren't even bringing in 9000 for some of their games.
I think clearly the change to Super Rugby to 18 teams has had an impact on the competition. I admit that at the time, I didn't think it would but it definitely appears to have driven away some fans. But there is overall a lack of passion.
But crowds just don't go for winning teams. I live in Victoria. I know Richmond fans. One of them used to report to me. He was born in 1983 and between then and 2012, when I stopped working with him, they got into the finals twice. Twice in 29 years in a competition where about 40% of the teams get into the competition. He still went to every bloody game. Clearly the AFL have managed the move from a local league to an Australia wide league much better than the ARU (or the NRL for that matter) and have maintained that level of tribalism.
There just seems to be no vision in the ARU. No ability to work out how to bring out the tribalism from some of the clubs into the national game. No clue on how to create new teams with a real following.
And now this debacle. It is 68 _days_ since the ARU said that they would have this resolved in 48-72 hours.
What then saddens me more is that apparently every one of the teams is happy to go down to 4 teams (as long as it isn't them impacted). Who ever loses a team - and if the rumours that the area will also lose their NRC team - that area will be lost to rugby union for a very long time. I just can't see how anyone who considers themselves as a custodian of rugby union in Australia can think that is a good idea.
And finally, what confuses me is that the ARU are now getting an extra $27 (or so) million more per year than in 2015. We are still running the same number of teams so where is that extra money going. Apparently that amount "
will enable the code to re-energise the game at grassroots level and invest in key strategic areas to ensure its future health and prosperity."
Bill's direct quote “We will also provide greater assistance to our Super Rugby clubs and member unions and will establish a future fund for the game which will ensure its long-term health and prosperity.” It is just 18 months after this.