Right, lets get this thread back on track. Heres a few area where I think the Lions can attack the Wallabies:
- Lineout, Stephen Moores throwing and Ben Mowans calling were both flawless last week, and the Lions have lose their line out specialist and 3rd centre Tom Croft. However i think Geoff Parling could cause some issues for the Wobs. He is lighter than POC and quicker across the ground, so if the Lions have been working all week on deciphering the calls Parling is the man to take advantage
- The Lions have their strongest back 3 on the park, Bowe is on another planet to Cuthbert, who seems to only be able to run in a straight line. Bowe runs better lines, is a smarter footballer, safer under the high ball and a better defender.
- The selection of Ben Youngs means the Lions are going to try and go around the Aussies. Jonny Sexton could make hay if the back row can secure so quick ball. If Youngs implodes Sexton is the kind of fly half you'd want beside him, he has the tactical kicking game and temperament to deal with Hooper et al getting in his face. If Sexton has a big game I think the Lions will win.
- Goalkicking. Don't need to elaborate much on this however one thing that is making me nervous is that Halfpenny usually has one shocker every series, hopefully it isn't tomorrow.
- Sean "The Tullow Tank" O'Brien. Yes he is only on the bench but expect him to be unleashed after 30 minutes. He has been the Lions best ball carrier on tour and will chomping at the bit to make an impression. He has only given away 3 penalties on tour by my count so his discipline problems are exaggerated IMO. The Wallabies will remember him from Auckland 2011 and will probably be happy he isn't starting.
I think the Lions are very vulnerable in the scrum, and if they throw beyond the first man in the lineout I think they could cough up possession. Their biggest weakness' are numbers 1,6,7,9. The two back rowers still look unfit and neither look near top form, that said all Lydiate does is tackle so form isn't really required for that but fitness is. Youngs is the ultimate bi-polar scrum half when he is good he is very good, when he is bad he is woeful and usually ends up in tears on the bench. I'd expect Hooper and Mowen to be in his face early and often. Youngs (like Croft) needs his pack to be on the front foot all game to make a big impression, and I can't see the Lions getting this I'm nervous. That said he does have form against Australia.
I think SOB aside the benches are quite even, although the Lions are very unbalanced, if a lock goes down they are screwed. The Lions need Sexton and Adam Jones to play 80 minutes as well. Still leaning towards Australia by a score, courtesy of their stronger pack.