When I look at the Wales side and work out the players missing from their starting team they would like to have: 13. J. Davies, 9. M. Phillips, 4. L. Charteris and 3. A. Jones are missing.
4 players - that would be a dream for Oz who are missing from their RWC first choice run-on team 15. Beale, 11. Mitchell, 12. McCabe, 10. Cooper, 8. Palu, 6. Elsom, 5. D. Vickerman and 1. Kepu. Add in our best LHP, B. Robinson who never made it to the RWC if you like.
Sure some would say that so and so shouldn't have been starting in the RWC, but Deans picked them; and Palu and Mitchell got injured in the pool games, so they shouldn't count.
My point is that our team is seriously compromised - and not least on the bench because many of our regular reserves will be starting or are injured themselves. It looks a bit like the 22 who played against Samoa before 3N. That game didn't turn out too well IIRR.
Therefore claims that we are going to win by heaps are over the top. Wales played their worst game by far in the "Bronze medal" game and we shouldn't hope that they play or kick at goal that poorly again. Yet they still got close, albeit with a Williams try that owed a lot to a forward pass. Plus they have two lads who didn't play against us: 10. Priestland and 7. Warburton.
Priestland has been the find of the year for Wales and we all know Warburton by now. He's not a typical fetcher like Pocock who is always close on the ball. He stands back a bit and strikes with a couple of quick steps to the pill when he sees it's worthwhile to have a go.
Wales will be superior in the fetching department because the other 6 numbers in the forwards are better at it than our guys: notably 1. Jenkins, as we should remember from the game a year ago - and we should recall that 8. R. Jones poached a few in the Bronze game, though he is on the bench this time.
8. Faletu was hardly noticed against us in the RWC because he had to play 7. since Warburton was suspended, but watch him go from the base of the scrum in this match.
I watched the Bronze game again a few days ago with Pom Miles Harrison commentating and he said that the Wales team was practising stripping the ball in the warm up. The Aussies seemed surprised by this as they were against Ireland who held up Oz mauls to get the "use it" scrum feed, yet they, and Irish provincial teams have been doing for a couple of years now.
I hope they have done a better job with their homework this time.
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