To state the obvious Genia, Cooper, Ioane and Beale are all locked-in. Therefore build the centres and winger around these four stars. Should Mitchell return to full-fitness, as his game against Canada suggest he is, then he is another certain starter. At 12, I had enjoyed watching McCabe hard runs and think he has really taken his opportunity with both hands. In saying that, Barnes' level head and ability to control the game should Quade be struggling (ala Bledisloe 1 2011) is very important and likely to be required in big games. Furthermore, the role which McCabe has played so well can be performed by a fit Mitchell, that hard straghting run in the midfield - as was doing so well for NSW. At 13, Horne, AAC (Adam Ashley-Cooper), A.Faainga are all pretty close. I would loved Horne to have gone injury-free this year, because I think he would have made the position his own. However, in the circumstances I would select Ant F at 13. His performances last two weeks have been extremely good - doing the simple things very well and making the hard things look simple. Similar to Conrad Smith.
Against Italy
Genia, Cooper, Ioane, Barnes, Ant, AAC (Adam Ashley-Cooper), Beale
Burgess, Horne, Mitchell
Projected knockout stages team
Genia, Cooper, Ioane, Barnes, Ant, Mitchell, Beale
Burgess, JOC (James O'Connor)