Subject to one (major) concern only, if we play like we did vs ABs Brisbane, we will beat England in the RWC, should this scenario arise.
The thing that moved me into a generally confident place regarding the making of a statement like this was simply that, in our last Test win, we seemed, however tentatively, to have found a cure of sorts for the three of the great diseases (or deficiencies) of Wallaby rugby in the last 8 or so years:
- we competed at the breakdown exceptionally well in all of intensity, aggression, numbers, technical skill and consistency;
- we were able to sustain the above coupled with general game nous, sound discipline and physical application for all of 80;
- we achieved these attributes against a top team that played very well overall for most of 80.
We lose against England when deficiencies 1 and 2 above are routinely in place, as they often have been. Twickers 2010 was in some respects a worse version of Marseilles 2007, we failed to deal with and turn up against England's far more intensive, consistent, skilful forwards.
Now, that major concern I started with. Yes, I've been a broken record about this for 12 months +, but the absolute vulnerability we have today is place kicking (and possibly drop gaols too, outside QC (Quade Cooper) who kicked these well in the S15). Just as he did at Twickers last year, JO'C in 2011's Tests is not yet showing he is anything like reliable enough to deliver an 80%+ success rate in high pressure moments. QC (Quade Cooper) if anything is slightly deteriorating from an 'OK' but far from excellent 2011 S15 success rate (at Brisbane v ABs he reversed his usual kicking outcome profile and missed the later pressure kicks and got the somewhat easier earlier ones...go figure...). KB (Kurtley Beale) is very uneven in 2011, and we don't know if BB will get a big role in the key matches, etc., and we don't know how well his kicking is going in any event. This poor development of our kicking depth, and to have only one really proven drop goal kicker, is a huge issue for us this RWC.
The Wallabies are far from outstanding in all the departments that really matter in WCs. But many crucial departments are now good enough, to demonstrably excellent, in ways they have not been in the past, and when such has cost us dearly.