Here’s another potential reason to keep the current format I've been thinking about.
The way to think about growing rugby in the competative Australian landscape is not by aiming to steal spectators from the NRL and AFL, as if spectators have to choose one or the other. The aim is to make spectators realise they can enjoy more than their other code. Like having both Netflix and Stan, or enjoying both Test and T20 cricket.
It’s not about rugby directly aiming to get a bigger share of the pie. It’s about directly aiming to make people realise they can actually enjoy the whole pie, including the rugby slice. Then, if they like how the rugby slice tastes, they’ll want more.
People will choose to watch Stan or Netflix depending on what’s on offer that night. Rugby needs to be able to offer people a meaningful event-like product more often. Test matches do this by nature, but Super Rugby, especially in Australia, also needs to be able to provide this if it is to be a tasty slice of the pie.
This event-style comp is what made original Super Rugby so tasty in the very beginning before it expanded. Super Rugby AU (with 6 teams) followed by Super Rugby TT is the best way to achieve this event-style product again.
Super Rugby AU is short and sharp. Every game feels competitive, unpredictable, and meaningful. Even when your team is on the bottom of the table, you never feel too far gone to make the finals. Another top-of-the-table clash is never far way. Your team vs the top-of-table is also never far away. And when Super Rugby AU is followed by Super Rugby TT, it gives you two grand finals in one season. Two peak events, with all the anticipation and intense drama leading up to them.
The same argument can be made for keeping Super Rugby Ao in NZ. When Super Rugby TT follows on from Super Rugby AU and Super Rugby Ao, spectators are interested in it because they anticipate the best of one comp going up against the best of another. It’s mysterious and exciting. It’s imperative to keep that aspect in order to keep viewers engaged.
The slight increase in broadcast revenue gained by offering more games with a full season Super Rugby TT isn’t worth it in the long run. This is the mistake old Super Rugby made. It went for the increase in broadcast revenue and lost the exciting event-like product. And so in the end, it lost the broadcast revenue too.
Just give Super Rugby AU a few more years to see what its potential is.