i was one of the very few that wasnt a kiwi that predicted the force to lose against the blues. Seeing as there are some opinions about the performance against the blues and how it is a reflection on how the result will be this week, i will probably compare the reds and blues a fair bit.
The force success lives and dies by the success of the force pack and there are certain teams in super rugby we don't match up against well at all with. Blues being one of them and the Reds...not.
I think we will see a different pack turn up against the reds. recent history shows the force forwards win the breakdown and collision contests. I dont see it being much different from previous encounters especially without Gill, but Browning is an improvement over Quirk imo. but none of the back rowers can be cmpared to kaino, luatua and braid of whom came off 3 weeks bashing poms for the all blacks or winning the 10s tourny in singapore. They came to perth n great mental condition. As mentioned in earlier posts the reds will have superiority at the lineout and expect to see them utilizing it a fair bit to set up mauls of which theyre good at and the force at times are poor at defending against. The scrums will be marginally to the force advantage but cant see the advantage being of any real value to the outcome of the game.
Will be interestng to see how the force backline functions with Holmes and whether he continues with the kicking game, pinning the reds in their half or not? what we have seen in his minimal appearances at the force and brumbies is quite opposite and he doesnt have the touch off the boot like ebersohn. What he lacks in the kicking game will hopefullly inspire more positive and attacking rugby. He can be prone to error though but would be good to see the local perform as what he did for the brumbies a couple years back. I think the reds halves have the advantage over the force both of whom I highly rate and if the reds pack as a minimum are able to neutralize the force at the breakdown lucas and frisby could be the difference. Despite the injuries the reds are still putting out a nice looking back line. The other thing about the blues that the force doesnt match up well with is the sheer size, speed and physicality in contact of the blues backs.......cant say the reds backs will strike the same sort of fear against their opposing numbers in the force who should contain them for the most part.
I always look forward to the Force playing Queensland B, and thnk this will be a cracker.....anyone who thinks the same Force will turn up this weekend from the Blues game is delusional.
Result - Too close to call but the heart always backs the force.