• Welcome to the forums of Green & Gold Rugby.
    We have recently made some changes to the amount of discussions boards on the forum.
    Over the coming months we will continue to make more changes to make the forum more user friendly for all to use.
    Thanks, Admin.

The Conference System: Success or Failure?

Status
Not open for further replies.

Lee Grant

John Eales (66)
I am closest to BDA in my thinking, not that it is better or worse than that of others.


When I saw the S15 proposal first mooted, around May 2009 IIRR, I was a happy camper. Mind you - that was before we knew, for sure, that Oz would get the 5th team. But I supposed that we would get it.


I mentioned such and the argument against it was that we didn't have the player depth for a 5th team. I didn't really care. What I saw was the opportunity to have a defacto national domestic competition and that's what it will be, in effect, if you take the long view of when the excess foreigners from the Rebels depart our shores.


Also, that 5th team will then be a reason for younger Oz players not to go overseas in the 1st place. Fewer will leave early and in a few years time we will see more valid candidates for the Wallabies emerge than would have been the case had they left.


Even this year, with all the foreigners at the Rebels, we have seen the emergence of such players as Phipps and Pyle who would likely not have been on the Wallaby radar were it not for the 5th team. I'm not saying for 2011, but later. Would Kingi have got so many games for the Reds - would Saffy have returned to rugby union from the dark side?


The rebuttal to that theoretical exercise 2 years ago, was that the quality of the 4 Oz Super teams would be diluted by introducing a 5th team and would be further weakened as contract terminations made more players available for Year 2 of the Rebels.


Of course it would: lowering the chances of winning a Super tournament was the price we had to pay for getting a 5th team, though the impact of players not leaving in the first place, the odd returnee from overseas, the odd young player taking the union pathway instead of the league pathway and the odd senior player switching - and all because there was another pro team - would all mitigate against the dilution down the track..


Two years ago those were the arguments, in theory, and, early days I know, but nothing much we have seen in the present contradicts it.


As I said in May 2009: I would rather have 4 Super teams and an ARC every day of the week rather than a 5th Super team and no ARC, but given that we aren't going to have an ARC again in the foreseeable future, I'll take the 5th Super team, thank you very much.


There have been a few from the other side of the ditch stating the opinion that Oz did not deserve a 5th team. Maybe be they are right, but they should not blame us, but their own rugby union for siding with us against the SAffers.


As for some of the Oz double header games being boring - there have been some. but give me a boring Oz derby over a boring SAffer or Kiwi derby any day of the week.
.
 

PaarlBok

Rod McCall (65)
As for some of the Oz double header games being boring - there have been some. but give me a boring Oz derby over a boring SAffer or Kiwi derby any day of the week.
.
Oom Lee you should know that you never get a boring SAffer derby.
 

The_Brown_Hornet

John Eales (66)
Agree with everything you've said Lee. From an Australian rugby point of view, this will work out well for us in the long run I believe.
 
T

Tahfan

Guest
Even mix of finals teams/Tahs arguably won't deserve to be there (or at least they will be open to criticism)

How can you say the Tahs wont deserve to be there if they do get there? they had the single toughest draw of any team in Super Rugby. Away at 4 of the 5 sides ahead of them going into the last round and most of those games played with vastly reduced squads. If they get in they will absolutely deserve it.
 

jay-c

Ron Walden (29)
it is easier for the aussie teams to make the finals.
reds and tahs play 3 of the bottom 4 teams more than the kiwis and saffas= easy points
i wouldnt say they dont deserve to be there- but they have had a relatively easier ride~
 

Slim 293

Stirling Mortlock (74)
it is easier for the aussie teams to make the finals.
reds and tahs play 3 of the bottom 4 teams more than the kiwis and saffas= easy points
i wouldnt say they dont deserve to be there- but they have had a relatively easier ride~

Any other year and it would've been the Saffers with the easier draw...
 
W

wolverine

Guest
Any other year and it would've been the Saffers with the easier draw...

Indeed, the Cheetahs and Lions have performed poorly for the last 5 seasons. I think the new system is fine, the cream will rise to the top. However, I think there is potential to expand the finals to a Top 7 system. The finals would remain three weeks, would only give 1st place the week off, and give more teams incentive to play for longer, and increase interest in the competition for longer for more people e.g.

Week 1: 2 vs 7, 3 vs 6, 4 vs 5
Week 2: 1 vs lowest qualifier from Wk 1, Highest qualifier from Wk 1 vs 2nd highest qualifier from Week 1
Week 3: Final
 

PaarlBok

Rod McCall (65)
Any other year and it would've been the Saffers with the easier draw...

You probably dont watch much CC rugby. Myself necver could understand why the Tin Ears and Lions under perform at S14 level. Probably get the answer with the new S100 competition. There aint no easy game when our lot lock horns.

Anyway Sanzars CEO view on this
Rugby365
'Educated' SA fans a big hit

South African and New Zealand Super Rugby derbies may not be that far ahead of their Australian rivals when it comes to intensity, but the SA fans certainly have a jump on their Australasian counterparts.

Greg Peters, the SANZAR CEO, in Part Three of an extensive and exclusive interview with rugby365.com, dismissed the notion that Aussie derbies are about as tough as schoolboy rugby.

It was suggested recently that games between Aussies teams are like schoolboy matches compared to the intensity when Kiwi and SA teams play on domestic derbies.

Highlanders coach Jamie Joseph was made to eat plenty of humble pie soon after he uttered his famous "schoolboy" phrase, but the perception persist that the Aussie derbies are not as tough as those in the other conferences.

"I think they're intense across the competition," Peters told rugby365.com.

"If you look at the Reds versus Waratahs ... those games are of Test match intensity, just as the Stormers versus Bulls are."

Peters admitted it is an interesting debate, to compare the domestic encounters in the three countries, but felt the perceptions may not be very accurate.

"I'm not sure it was backed up by fact and it is hard to gauge, other than by a suggestive view.

"I think you see intensity in different games.

"The way that the games are played, the local derbies are often different than you see teams normally play," he said, adding that coaches adopt a different way of playing the game when they are grinding it out against a team from their own country.

He said physicality is always there and teams "smack each other up a bit" in all derbies.

"I go back to the point, the Reds versus Waratahs in Brisbane recently was exactly like that.

"The Waratahs were camped on the Reds line for 15 minutes and the hits in that time were huge.

"I think it is a generalisation, rather that anything being backed up by facts ... different style of play, different ways of playing the game also comes into."

He admitted that perceptions will persist if things go against teams, then they might feel they have it tougher in their own conferences and other conferences have more "easy" games.

Peters was full of praise for South African supporters, who he felt are better equipped to judge the game across all three conferences.

"What is interesting for me, particularly in South Africa, is the crowd attendance numbers for interconference games," the SANZAR boss said.

"Your [South African] rugby public are also very educated on Australasian teams.

"Your average fan follows, and understands Australasian teams probably better than Australasian fans understand South African teams.

"You get great crowds for interconference games like Stormers versus Reds and Stormers versus Crusaders - what fantastic games and crowds they were.

"In the other two conferences it is the local derbies that are the strongest crowd pullers, with the exception of the Reds versus Crusaders a couple of weeks ago ... which was almost a competition record-breaking crowd at Suncorp.

"As I said, I think the South African rugby public are very educated about Australasian teams and know what games to turn up for."
 

PaarlBok

Rod McCall (65)
TV audiense down by 15%, not looking good this S100

Sport24
S15 audiences down, but ...

If statistics at my disposal are correct, Super Rugby television viewership on SuperSport at this point has dipped by around 15 percent on last year’s figures.

The information I have is based, however, on comparative research after round 16 of this year’s much-expanded competition, which took place on the weekend of June 3 and 4.

It was roughly then on the calendar that last year’s shorter, old-format Super 14 ended - the final between the Bulls and the Stormers took place in Soweto on May 29.

So that season was already done and dusted, including the ever-gripping last weekend of league action, followed by the semi-finals and then the showpiece: those three weekends obviously see an upward curve in TV interest.

Keep in mind that this season’s inaugural “finals series” featuring five knockout matches has not yet even begun, and I would also anticipate rosy viewership for the highly appealing South African derbies on Saturday (Cheetahs v Stormers and Bulls v Sharks) which will strongly influence berths in that phase.

There must be a good chance, then, that the 15 percent shortfall I mentioned will effectively be wiped out or at least significantly trimmed, given that any dead-rubber activity in Super Rugby - which presumably impacts a great deal on overall TV figures - suddenly ceases altogether.

And maybe SANZAR bosses would be reasonably happy if the first season of the stretched “concertina”, which was never going to be without certain teething problems, at least ends up not showing a significant fall-off in viewership.

I suspect that a natural by-product of enlarging the southern hemisphere’s premier non-Test rugby event was always going to be a diminished likelihood of people slavishly watching every game from start to finish.

My own view hasn’t altered that a “less is more” formula made for the best Super Rugby in quality and novelty-value terms: and by that I mean the Super 12 format, which sadly ceased to exist after the 2005 campaign, when a gradual bludgeoning of the golden goose (ie, creation of new franchises) began.

But I don’t think the new format can be branded a disaster at this stage, either, and for my own part I will reserve judgment on the campaign until after the maiden finals series ...

Rob’s awesome foursome

1. Bulls v Sharks, Vodacom Super Rugby
Pretoria, Saturday 17:05, M-Net, SS1 & SHD
In what basically seems an acknowledgement that his charges haven’t offered enough consistent sparkle in recent weeks, Sharks coach John Plumtree has made some brave calls for the likely do-or-die derby at a jam-packed Loftus. Pat Lambie back at No 15 for the average Louis Ludik and mercurial Freddie Michalak in the key flyhalf spot ... it could just work a treat, but if the Sharks pack comes under pressure then the Frenchman may experience some back-pedalling trauma, too! I said earlier this week that I had a gut feeling the men from Durban weren’t quite ready to bow out with a whimper. But if you held me down and demanded a forecast which would spare me my execution, I guess I’d still have to say “Bulls”.

2. Cheetahs v Stormers, Vodacom Super Rugby
Bloemfontein, Saturday 19:10, M-Net, SS1 & SHD
Considering their unfavourable allocation of byes this year, it is absolutely imperative, I think, that the Stormers cap their long-time supremacy in the SA conference by winning this one and clinching a rest weekend ahead of a home semi-final. So even if some of their all too seldom rotated troops like Francois Louw and Andries Bekker must be tiring, Schalk Burger is sure to rally them for a huge effort in “Bloem” and avoidance of another unwanted travel routine so soon after their last one. They are street-smart enough to pull it off, whatever the hazards against a Cheetahs outfit likely to adopt the happy-go-lucky approach that has mostly served them so well in recent weeks. After some spells of angst, maybe, the visitors by 8-10!

3. US Open golf
Bethesda, Saturday & Sunday from 19:30, various SS channels
Nobody would have confidently suggested beforehand that Louis Oosthuizen would win the last British Open, nor that Charl Schwartzel would claim the Green Jacket at the Masters. So why not another serious South African assault on the US Open, with several of our golfers, either young or old, considered in with a shout at Congressional? Please note that ESPN is your required live, red-eye destination for the first two days, with SuperSport getting in on the action for Saturday (SS2 and CSN, plus SH2) and Sunday’s climax, where SS1 then becomes the primary destination (plus CSN and SHD).

4. Wimbledon tennis championships
London, from Monday 14:00, various SS channels
Do you remember those days when, with not nearly the saturation coverage in our country of so many sports events worldwide, watching Wimbledon on SABC (pre-SuperSport, of course) was such a treat? Indeed, I was certainly not alone in sometimes taking a few days’ leave specifically to cosy up in front of the box in our mid-winter for it. Nowadays televisions are rather more ever-present in offices, banks, malls or restaurants, so you can kind of monitor the grand old dame of tennis events out of the corner of an eye. I reckon I’ll be a bit more focussed than that again this year, however, with a host of quality rivalries across both the men’s and women’s singles. Looking at the fortnight’s schedule, it seems SS2 and SS7 will be the predominant carriers of the action, with good lashings on CSN too
 

Langthorne

Phil Hardcastle (33)
For the benefit of TheNextBigThing

This season, maybe not different at all - but that may not always be the case.

Position Team Conference Points
1 Reds Australian Conference Leader 66
2 Crusaders New Zealand Conference Leader 61
3 Stormers South African Conference Leader 58
4 Blues Wildcard 60
5 Waratahs Wildcard 57
6 Bulls Wildcard 53
7 Sharks 53

So we currently have a situation where the top 3 teams do not make up the top 3 positions - the Blues would be third were it not for the conference system, if the Stormers lose they will still be in third. Likely they will win, but the other outcome is also possible. I don't like that possibility.
 
T

TheNextBigThing

Guest
The system would have some serious flaws if the table was finalized before all the fixtures had been played.

It's not inconceivable that the stormers lose to the cheetahs tonight in which case your table would be correct. You do make a good point though that 4th having more points than 3rd may become an issue in the future.
 

matty_k

Peter Johnson (47)
From what I understand the Stormers don't have a great record away against the Cheetahs. So it is possible for the top 3 teams to just be Au and NZ
 
T

TheNextBigThing

Guest
From what I understand the Stormers don't have a great record away against the Cheetahs. So it is possible for the top 3 teams to just be Au and NZ

Top three in points. But not on the table. That's what Langthorne is criticizing.
 

kiap

Steve Williams (59)
For the benefit of TheNextBigThing



Position Team Conference Points
1 Reds Australian Conference Leader 66
2 Crusaders New Zealand Conference Leader 61
3 Stormers South African Conference Leader 58
4 Blues Wildcard 60
5 Waratahs Wildcard 57
6 Bulls Wildcard 53
7 Sharks 53

So we already have a situation where the top 3 teams do not make up the top 3 positions - the Blues would be third were it not for the conference system.

The Stormers, with a game in hand, are likely to rectify that situation shortly...

Okay, it's still a valid point to make but it doesn't carry too much weight. Third place is hardly different to fourth place in reality. Both sides get the home play-off without a week off. It's not a conference system without conference winners but it is actually No big deal.

Missing out on playing two teams actually has more of an effect (unfortunately due to the CC it had to be this way) but even this is still only slightly unfair rather than grossly unfair. - The old luck of the draw on which teams meet at home and which away is similarly slightly unfair, but this has been the case since Day 1 of Super Rugby. Only the real whingers are still moaning about this after 15 years.

The conference system works well, overall.
 

kiap

Steve Williams (59)
You do make a good point though that 4th having more points than 3rd may become an issue in the future.

Nope. Finishing 3rd is no better than finishing 4th, except for a getting a piece of tin.

The Blues (in this case) do not deserve that piece of tin. End of.
 
T

TheNextBigThing

Guest
Nope. Finishing 3rd is no better than finishing 4th, except for a getting a piece of tin.

The Blues (in this case) do not deserve that piece of tin. End of.

3rd plays 6th
4th plays 5th
5th > 6th
Therefore 3rd > 4th

Also in the semis, 1st plays the highest placed winner of the qualifying round and 2nd plays the lowest ranked winner of the qualifying round.
 

kiap

Steve Williams (59)
3rd plays 6th
4th plays 5th
5th > 6th
Therefore 3rd > 4th

Also in the next round 1st plays the highest placed winner of the qualifying round and 2nd plays the lowest ranked winner in the qualifying round.

Nonsense, in reality that's mere clutching at straws. The numbers (3 or 4) are not as significant as the actual opposition teams.

Taking this years tournament as an example, the Crusaders may (arguably) match up better against the Waratahs than the Bulls. But it is quite likely that the Crusaders will finish 3rd, Blues 4th, Tahs 5th, and Bulls 6th.

The Blues in 4th then (arguably) get the easier play-off game at home against the Tahs. Should they survive, they get the likely preferred semifinal just across the ditch against the Reds in Brisbane.

The Crusaders in 3rd will (arguably) do it tougher in their play-off against the Bulls. Should they survive, they likely get a long-haul semifinal to play the Stormers in Capetown.

The numbers 3 or 4 in themselves don't help you much because you play who you are dealt. One path may be slightly better than another but finishing 3rd does not mean you will get it. By all means it could actually be worse!
.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top