Super Rugby AU Qualifying Final Brumbies v Force

[D-Box]

Well we can debate the merits of making the finals as third in a five team comp with just a 50% win rate - but you probably won't be hearing it coming from the west of the continent and not just because we can't get over that way. But the good news is that the Force are over in Canberra https://www.facebook.com/groups/503083813372737/permalink/1403897519958024/

I think that the Force are up against it in this game as the Brumbies do the tough stuff that the Force have done well the last couple of weeks better that anyone else in Aus, plus have the backline to exploit the hard work. The force for the most part have relied on luck (an intercept and lucky bounce) and up the front grunt work which probably can't run out for a third week.

As an interesting sub-plot - is this the game to decide the Wallabies hooker for the first game re France?

 

[TSR]

I wouldn’t think so

 

[liquor box]

Well we can debate the merits of making the finals as third in a five team comp with just a 50% win rate - but you probably won't be hearing it coming from the west of the continent and not just because we can't get over that way. But the good news is that the Force are over in Canberra https://www.facebook.com/groups/503083813372737/permalink/1403897519958024/

I think that the Force are up against it in this game as the Brumbies do the tough stuff that the Force have done well the last couple of weeks better that anyone else in Aus, plus have the backline to exploit the hard work. The force for the most part have relied on luck (an intercept and lucky bounce) and up the front grunt work which probably can't run out for a third week.

As an interesting sub-plot - is this the game to decide the Wallabies hooker for the first game re France?

I have no issue with 3rd place getting a shot at the title, this was the rule at the start of the season and given how close games have been this season i think it is fair to say that the teams are closer together that the ladder reflects.

As a Reds member, I feel that the minor premiership is the most important thing in 2021 (unless we win the grand final too)

 

[ForceFan]

Pleased to see such a good video out so quickly before the match in Canberra.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=d...xQJkI9AylqRD97yJZS01x-OSaGTLOKrjYdSowWAQpJPfg

 

[Braveheart81]

Kuridrani has been cited for his tackle on Paisami.

Seems pretty certain he'll get suspended for it.

 

[Sully]

Kuridrani has been cited for his tackle on Paisami.

Seems pretty certain he'll get suspended for it.

I can't disagree with that. I thought it was a clear red on the field.

 

[Derpus]

I think that the Force are up against it in this game as the Brumbies do the tough stuff that the Force have done well the last couple of weeks better that anyone else in Aus, plus have the backline to exploit the hard work. The force for the most part have relied on luck (an intercept and lucky bounce) and up the front grunt work which probably can't run out for a third week.

This is the kind of bullshit we used to trot out when we lost to England for the xth time and conceded a bunch of tries by turning the ball over when under pressure.

It's not luck. It's about forcing errors and capitalizing on them.

 

[Brumbieman]

This is the kind of bullshit we used to trot out when we lost to England for the xth time and conceded a bunch of tries by turning the ball over when under pressure.

It's not luck. It's about forcing errors and capitalizing on them.

I don't think I ever blamed it on luck, more a one dimensional, U12's level gameplan that Eddie Jones figured out 4 minutes into their strategy review and just rolled out each time.

Won several hundred $ on the quarter final by predicting the scoreline - I just averaged the scorelines out from the previous 6 games and nailed it.

 

[The_Brown_Hornet]

I think this week will be a bridge too far but jeez I've enjoyed riding the wave over the last few games.

 

[Rugbynutter39]

You would think brumbies to win this but with force improving and confidence high brumbies will need to be on their game.

This is finals footy so any side could go all the way. I think though brumbies too clinical so predict brumbies win.

 

[ForceFan]

The WF has shown the best defence against the Brumbies rolling maul.
WF's game plane is built of solid defence.
I reckon that the WF has shown enough improvement over the past 3 weeks to be in with a good chance.
Just hoping that I'll be allowed to travel so that I can be there to see it happen!

 

[Derpus]

Should be a cracker. TK will be a big loss for the Force but Kahui will do a decent job. Will Kearney be back? Hes definitely an upgrade on McGregor IMO.

 

[Set piece magic]

Will be in Canb to observe these teams as a reds spy. I think the Brumbies structured style will suffocate the Force out of the game. WF seems to benefit when the game becomes chaotic with turnovers etc. Happy to see either team win because they've both fought hard. Brumbies seem to be very difficult to beat in Canberra

 

[Braveheart81]

Kuridrani has been suspended for three weeks so will miss this and the final should they beat the Brumbies (plus week 1 of Super Rugby TT).

 

[Kevin77]

Can the Force go to the well four weeks in a row?

Are we going to be tired or battle hardened?

 

[ForceFan]

Moving on......time to test the depth that the WF has been talking about.

 

[Kevin77]

I'd assume Kahui will be 13 instead of Kuridrani.

Whilst it will weaken our bench if Kahui can get up for it, he's a more creative option than Kuridrani. maybe we might benefit in a way as we won't be trying to run through a big Brumbies backline and might have to try threading a way through.

 

[brokendown]

think it may be a bridge too far for us this week,but I thought that last week too,LOL

 

[Brumby Runner]

I'd assume Kahui will be 13 instead of Kuridrani.

Whilst it will weaken our bench if Kahui can get up for it, he's a more creative option than Kuridrani. maybe we might benefit in a way as we won't be trying to run through a big Brumbies backline and might have to try threading a way through.

Think you might be overstating the size of the Brumbies backline K77. None of White, Lolesio, Ikitau, or Muirhead is what you'd call large, and Wright and Banks are about average I'd say for their positions, leaving just Simone as maybe larger than average for a No 12. I think you might miss TK more than you're expecting.

 

[Dan54]

think it may be a bridge too far for us this week,but I thought that last week too,LOL

Yep broken, I said last week I couldn't see Force winning, so perhaps this week I may have to keep thoughts to myself.