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Reds v Bulls. R8 2016

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RebelYell

Arch Winning (36)
From: http://www.rupa.com.au/news/the-players/stat-attack-round-eight-2016

How good must it have felt for the Reds to get on board their flight to South Africa with a first win of the season under their belt, and against the high-flying defending champions as well? So good!

With two potential debutants in their 27-man squad (Lukhan Tui and James Tuttle) and the boost that came from the confirmation that Rob Simmons will be fit to play, they land in Pretoria with a real spring in their step. There is an instant ‘but’, however, that comes in the form of a poor playing record at Loftus Versfeld that hasn’t seen them win there since 2001 and has seen them concede an average of 50 points there across their last 6 visits!

Just over a year ago the Reds went down 43-22, and while the Reds have lacked for experience at times this season they will be pleased to only have 7 players in their touring squad (Saia Fainga’a, Nick Frisby, Liam Gill, Greg Holmes, Jake Schatz, Simmons and James Slipper) who played back in 2012 at this venue as the Reds went down 61-8! Look even further back and you’ll see four more defeats before that last win 15 years ago, including the 92-3 drubbing in 2007 which remains the record Super Rugby loss to this day!

Let’s not dwell on that history for too long, and let’s focus on the positives; this side silenced a huge amount of critics with their performance last week, and there’s a plethora of positive individual statistics to digest.
Samu Kerevi’s game was one of the best by any player, for any team, this season; 1 try and 1 try assist, 164 metres across 16 carries, 8 defenders beaten, 5 clean breaks and 3 offloads! Chris Feauai-Sautia, Karmichael Hunt, Schatz and Hendrik Tui also had 10 or more carries, while Gill had 4 clean breaks, won 2 turnovers and tackled at 100%!

The Reds have won just two of their last 11 matches away from home, though one of those two wins came in South Africa against the Cheetahs in Round 10, 2015, while the Bulls have won seven and drawn one of their last nine matches at home. We’ve talked about the strength of the Reds’ set piece on multiple occasions this year; the Bulls have the 2nd best lineout in the competition (93%) but their scrum is ranked 17th, and that will be where the Reds will look to target them.

The Bulls have already used a whopping 34 players this season, with not a single one of them playing all 480 minutes of their campaign, and the Reds should be wary of the 20-40 minute mark of this match; the Bulls have scored 8 of their 19 tries during that time, though at least the Reds have only conceded 2 in the corresponding quarter.

Is it a tough ask? Absolutely, but so was hosting the defending champions who entered last week’s match as the competition’s in-form side against and left as the first side to taste defeat at the hands of the Reds this year. They showed against the Highlanders what they are capable of, and now the task is to replicate that every week, starting against the Bulls.
 

waiopehu oldboy

George Smith (75)
Bulls: 15 SP Marais, 14 Travis Ismaiel, 13 Jesse Kriel, 12 Jan Serfontein, 11 Bjorn Basson, 10 Francois Brummer, 9 Rudy Paige, 8 Arno Botha, 7 Jannes Kirsten, 6 Lappies Labuschagne, 5 RG Snyman, 4 Jason Jenkins, 3 Marcel van der Merwe, 2 Adriaan Strauss (c), 1 Trevor Nyakane. Replacements: 16 Jaco Visagie, 17 Lizo Gqoboko, 18 Werner Kruger, 19 Marvin Orie, 20 Deon Stegmann, 21 Piet van Zyl, 22 Tian Schoeman, 23 Dan Kriel
 

RugbyReg

Rocky Elsom (76)
Staff member
1. James Slipper (C)
2. Andrew Ready
3. Greg Holmes
4. Cadeyrn Neville
5. Ben Matwijow (starting debut)
6. Hendrik Tui
7. Liam Gill
8. Jake Schatz
9. Nick Frisby
10. Jake McIntyre
11. Eto Nabuli
12. Anthony Fainga'a
13. Samu Kerevi
14. Chris Feauai-Sautia
15. Karmichael Hunt

16. Saia Fainga'a
17. Sef Fa'agase
18. Sam Talakai
19. Lukhan Tui (uncapped)
20. Curtis Browning
21. James Tuttle (uncapped)
22. Sam Greene
23. Ayumu Goromaru
 
T

TOCC

Guest
My only concern with that team is the second row and how this will impact on the set piece, I don't think Lukhan Tui is quite up to Super Rugby standards just yet so hopefully he doesn't get forced to play too much game time .
 

redstragic

Alan Cameron (40)
Harsh. I've been called many things over the years but never has anyone gone as far as to call me Michael Foley.



You can rest assured, that I am not Axel, nor am I interested in the Reds HC gig. I'm just a guy that loves rugby and numbers. You're all just lucky I can't work out how to imbed pie charts, histograms and radar graphs into forum posts. #statsarefun


Georgina Murray on 360 was making jokes (I pray) about Foley coming home.
 

Scrubber2050

Mark Ella (57)
History and present 2016 form suggest a win to the Bulls.

A resurgent Reds team on the back of last weeks game to provide an upset.
It's a shame Simmo is missing but Slipper, Holmes, Gill and Shatz will lead from the front. The backs seem to have new found confidence and I am hopeful Kerevi and the boys attack the line....

Reds by 7
 

dillyboy

Colin Windon (37)
No one awake for this one??

Was making a tea so missed the try but glad to be up!

Gill is everywhere
 

TSR

Andrew Slack (58)
So, suddenly we chase our kicks, our defence is organised and disciplined and we attack the gain line and, lo & behold, we are a competitive team.

Edit: unfortunately our scrum isn't as dominant.
 

TSR

Andrew Slack (58)
Liam Gill on half time. Reds have penalty advantage so he calmly slots the field goal. 17 - 8 Bulls at half time.
 
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