For mine the Reds look very flat and lack any real impact away from the key players of Genia, Cooper and Horwill. Too much reliance on these three and if we examine recent history of the Reds we can see how that has come to be with the loss of Ioane, Morahan, Higginbotham and IMO Peter Hynes.
These three backs in particular could be counted on to provide the options in attack that would have the defences thinking about where to align to. In the forwards Samo could be counted on to provide impact at the ruck and yet another attacking threat, while Higginbotham was a constant threat two off the ruck and wider.
Now consider who the Reds have recruited and/or developed to fill those gaps:-
Backs:
Shipperly - I was a big fan early on when I saw him playing a club game. I am very worried that his development seems to have stalled and may in fact be regressing. Is he injured again, or just never fully recovered.
CFS - Vast potential, but he really hasn't shown it yet consistently.
Toua - not being to unkind to say he reminds me a Peter Betham in his poor security, execution and decision making.
Turner - a very good tradesman who has always struggled to beat a man one on one. Has huge pace and I have never really understood why the first state proves true in that case. In any event he is a bit like AAC (Adam Ashley-Cooper) (but he can and does pass) in that he is Mr reliable. He rarely has a shocker and at wing, 15 or 13 he is a very good defender and generally executes base skills well.
Fowards:-
anybody standing out here to replace Samo and Higgers? Not IMO
Where has the long and even medium term planning been to replace these players? It is not as if the majority of them (Ioane, Hynes, Samo and Morahan) leaving was all that surprising.
I don't think it is time to write off the Reds by any stretch of the imagination, at least in relation to the Australian Conference, but without some serious rebuilding they will at best just hold the better teams and maybe given them a run for their money. I cannot see them regularly defeating the better sides with their squad and the manner in which they are playing.
As Redshappy said earlier in this thread a team realistically cannot afford to lose more than four games and have safe hopes of a home final. They need to win with a few bonus points along the way to really be in the hunt.
It is a bit unkind to lay all this at the feet of Richard Graham, because these inadequacies in the squad have been building for a number of years. But Graham will end up wearing the fallout because he is the pilot currently.
Anybody doubting this really should look at the current points table for a great example of the lack of Reds thrust. The conservative play the percentages Foley led Force currently has scored more points and conceded less than the Reds.
Finally as to solutions this year,
1. Slipper should go to THP. Does it need explaining?
2. Tapuai MUST be at 12. I don't see any value in him at 13. He is not a 13 and I have never seen him play well in the position, whereas at 12 he was pushing to be rated the best in Oz at one stage.
3. Turner can ably play wing, 13 and 15. I would suggest 13 as this enables Harris to play at 15 which provides a better boot and a back up place kicker to Cooper. It does hamper the counter attack somewhat, but, you have to make the best of the limited squad and come up with the best balance of skills.