Us Reds fans have to cross our fingers and hope that in 2009 injuries a kept to a minimum, then and only then can we think about a top 7 finish (top 4 would be pretty unrealistic IMO).
With a good pre-season I expect that Edwards, Houston and Luafutu will build on their reasonable first year showings, and all three have the ability to make strong impact at S14 level, if not higher. If they do, and the likes of Holmes and MMM remain fit, then we will have a very strong pack, especially in the set pieces (although the loss of Moore is disappointing in this regard).
As far as the backline is concerned we are desparately reliant on a more consistent Cooper, an uninjured Barnes, and a Turinui of the last half of the 2008 season, not the first half. One thing we will have out wide is pace, and if Cooper and Barnes are on song, they have the ability to harness it.
Key weaknesses are obviously the loose work of our forwards and their speed around the park in securing our ball and producing turnovers; a clear lack of depth in almost every position; and a weakness in backline defense. I believe (and hope) that the promise of the playmaking group of Lucas/Cooper/Barnes will come to fuition during the season.