At home, the Reds must be favoured to beat the Sharks, who have been pretty average all year. Yes, they beat the Reds in Rnd 4 at home, but have also been so inconsistent all year -- beating the Stormers in Rnd 14 but then losing to the lowly Lions the following week, and the only kiwi teams they had to face were the Blues (who were playing awful rugby at the time) and the Highlanders at home. Like all the SA teams, they travel poorly and I expect them heading home defeated while the Reds will continue onto Waikato. But unfortunately for you Reds fans, that'll be were they are dethroned
In the other semi, the Crusaders at home should have no problem beating up on the Bulls. It'll be easy pickings for the Seven time champions, especially with Read coming back into the team.