At this point in time, the Podium at Rio (Mens Sevens) will be NZL, SAF, and FIJ. The order of the podium will be the luck of the draw, the bounce of the ball, and Team Rehab Selectors.
As others have said, we will be in the chasing pack. Our Women's team will do well and will Podium (IMHO).
Some other random observations and leaps of logical faith after watching the first few rounds:
1. Sevens is a specialist activity and has been for quite a while. Very few players excel at both 15 aside and 7 aside rugby.
2. SBW was next to useless for the Darkness. In his defence it took him a while to come to grips with proper rugby when he first switched codes. IMHO Quade will be similar for us next week. Both SBW and QC (Quade Cooper) may develop their 7's skills with time but there is no Fairy Godmother. It takes time.
3. I dislike England anything, but must admit that James Rodwell (Eng) is a wonderful sevens player and much under rated for what he brings to the game. He is very skilled, and I'd love it if the bastard was playing in a Gold Jumper.
4. I love Fiji sevens. They remain babes in the woods in Test Rugby, but they thoroughly embrace everything that is great about rugby 7's. They deserve Gold in Rio, but may unfortunately miss out to the BlitzBokke who will probably take gold.
5. The Blitzbokke experiment with Gold miners has not been particularly successful (see point 1 and 2). Hoggart and others have looked very pedestrian compared to their 7's specialists - Kwagga Smith, Kyle Brown, Phillip Snyman, Cecil Afrika (is he injured?). The latter, on their day, are as good as the best that FIJ and NZL have to offer.
6. See point 1. Many 7's superstars are poor at "proper" rugby and vice versa. Time for the administrators and marketing divisions to take heed. Don't listen to the player managers or watch the highly edited (and extremely selective) highlights reels of their clients.
7. Time for the tournament to move to somewhere else in NZL. Wellington doesn't seem to give a stuff. I don't care whether the administrators have "killed the atmosphere" with their emphasis on families or the locals have just become bored with the concept of Rolls Royce rugby entertainment. Empty seats in the grandstands in the RWC holders country is not a good look, and it was not just a few empty seats. I'd prefer it went to Napier, Tauranga or Rotorua. Good wine and food in the first two locations, and the third is in rugby heartland and is well set up to deal with major events.