So less shite than the other shite. The facts now are no longer about relative shiteness and unfortunately no longer even about maintaining a "National" footprint. The base discussion really now has to be about the survival of Professional Rugby in this country. As things stand none of the teams are sustainable over the medium term in Super Rugby as it stands. Just not enough people are interested and that will effect the bottom line of the media deal in 2020 if not before.
And no I don't have it in for the Rebels, or the Force or anybody else. I am on the record as supporting a complete withdrawal from Super Rugby. Its a dead duck and the long we stay the more damage done to Australian Rugby.
I'd go significantly less than the other teams.
But you are completely right around the medium/long term. The media deal in 2020 is likely to be much much lower with not only interest down but it will also be significantly impacted by the expected reductions in broadcast rights values across all sports on a global level.
Ideally, we would see some proactive strategic thought from the ARU but that seems rather optimistic at this point.
We need to work out what we need from a domestic competition in the long term and start to move towards that. The next 5-10 years are likely to be a struggle for Australian rugby whatever happens, it just will be better if it is planned rather than forced upon us.
Either leave Super Rugby now, keep the 5 teams and leave at the end of the broadcast period or drop a team but making it very very clear that it is a short term thing and that the future is not Super Rugby (best view is to merge the Rebels / Brumbies and play 4 games in each city. It isn't ideal but would be ok for a few years).
In addition, I'd look at trying a real "Super Rugby" competition which would be more along a champions league (if NZ and SA are at all interested).
Domestically, bring in a Club champions cup (for the champions of all of the club competitions) and probably also a FFA style knock out open to any club.