Brumbies pack is still quite handy, though Murphy may struggle to hit targets, he will scrum like a third prop and put us under pressure at scrum time.
Back row of the Tahs probably has an advantage in experience while the halves and centres pretty much cancel each other out.
Back three is pretty close too - Rathbone similar to Horne; Speight a bruiser versus Bread the stepper; Folau the ball runner versus Mogg the Boot.
Tight five: Tahs by a slim margin
Back row: Tahs
Halves: Even
Centres: Even
Back three: Tahs by about one quarter of a Folau
Bench: Tahs
So its not as clear-cut as everyone thinks. If the Brumbies have a good night with the boot, and Walsh doesn't want an open game, then they can strangle the home side.
The Tahs need to basically beat the shit out of the Ponies through the middle and keep the ball away from them, and get in the ref's ear.
Simple stuff. Hard to execute.