Gagger said:
I'd say we're no longer
re-building, but are still
building.
No longer re-building because even under Connolly we were progressing both in terms of win % and Foley with the pack. That's two years of progress.
Still building though because of the youth and ideas still coming into the squad. I can't see us
maintaining until after 2011
This could be splitting hairs (not a bad thing to do mind
) but the upshot for me is that it's no more excuses on Saturday and an answer to "are we where we think we are".
About sums it up.
I'm not disputing the need for building phases. The reality is that every team will live through cycles. The Wallabies are on the upward curve. I just think they have gone beyond the point where you can say they are rebuilding based on the fact that the side has a very settled look about it now. There aren't;t too many things that Deans is still trying to find out. A year ago Deans wasn't sure about halfback, lock combo, the back 3. He seems to have figured those out now and he also knows who his best backups are.
The All Blacks somehow always have short cycles, if that makes sense. They always have good sides and hardly ever look like they are experimenting or need to. (Which has nothing to do with their inability to perform at World Cups which I think has become more of a psychological issue).
As for the Boks, I think we are at the top of that cycle for a bunch of reasons. The current squad came through the RWC, stuck around for the opportunity to play the Lions, and I think a few of these players may just be reaching a point where they have had enough and want to go hunt a big paycheck. They are about to lose a a big slice of the core and the backup is either inexperienced or unknown as we have seen a number of times now (Lions 3rd test was a disaster).
If the Boks don't win this 3N I predict they will in all likelihood not win it for another three years at least. They just won't have a settled enough outfit and there are way too many questions in key positions with the likes of Matfield, du Preez, JdV, Botha, Smit, Juan Smith, Fourie and a few others likely to retire or move o'seas some time soon.
In contrast, I see no potential retirements in the Wallaby squad other than maybe Mortlock? Bodes very well for the next World Cup and the timing could not be better.