Jesus what did poor Rodda do to have Philip, Carter and Simmons ahead of him?!
Simmons was dumped by the Reds because Rodda and Tui are vastly superior. Rodda has been a beast for the Reds giving you that Hanigan-esqu work ethic but actually being effective. His lineout work has been superb he and Coleman are probably the best lineout locks in Australia.
Unlike Simmons scrums in front of Rodda go forward, I am not sure I've seen Simmons push in a scrum in his life, very much not in the last few years.
Also regarding halfback I'm almost expecting Cheika to
still pick Phipps despite him not having any excuse this year as to not starting for the Waratahs. again.
Those that have had Tupou fall out of the 23 (some had him boardline starting) how much of that is based on his scrummaging last against the Stormers? Because I'm quite sure that won't happen again. But even if he scrums like a little girl I think he's still in the 23.
At 10 I would be picking Lance and I really don't like Lance! But it would really be Beale playing 10 and Lance playing 12. Foley hasn't been playing particularly well and while Lance often kills the attack you'd really have Beale doing much of your playmaking with SK or TK playing in the centers to get crunched when Lance throws a shit pass.
Finally, Folau has got to play at 15, just look at his still set and the skill set of wingers and explain to me how / why he should be playing 15!
Other notes, Higgers should be considered for 6/7/8. I don't think you can select both Pocock and Hooper, and to my mind Pocock has shown he's going to be superior to Hooper. I feel like the ruck law changes actually make Pocock better compared to everyone else, because it's gotten much harder to get those steals but Pocock has only gotten a little worse at them. Hooper's speed coming off the bench is probably going to be more valuable too.
What I think Cheika's pick will be.
Sio / TPN / Kepu
Colman / Simmons
Hanigan / Pocock / Hooper
Geina / Foley
Koroibete / Beale / Kuridrani / Folau
DHP