Cheika's "considerable abilities"?
He is obviously an effective man manager, he certainly got the Waratahs fit, he somehow managed to get us into the RWC Final.
But I am a bit worried that he might just be a bit narrow in his approach to the game. The days of teams having a set style are long over. The challenge these days is to be adaptable. By all means we must play to our strengths but to get to the top, or to stay in the top echelon, demands a much more flexible approach than we have seen - especially against the Dodgers.
Of course he has considerable abilities. He's demonstrated them.
Quite a successful coaching career in Europe. The first ever Super title for the Waratahs. To a RWC Final within 12 months of being appointed and when the Wallabies were struggling badly when he assumed the HC role there.
That is not just about 'man management' skills, let's not be silly or churlish. These are exceptional achievements.
In my opinion, what has gone wrong for Cheika is that he's only just realising - partly as a result of his own ego-driven stubbornness and inexperience at national level - is that a full-strength, high calibre coaching group based around men who are far from yes-men is simply essential to creating a national team that can compete against other good teams that have such a group.
Just read the autobiography of the greatest rugby coach the modern game has known, G Henry. Even with the resources of the NZRU, Henry makes abundantly clear how crucial were his (and the NZRU's) choices in building a complete national coaching group. And that's also where the M Byrnes and G Enokas came in, let alone the W Smiths and Hansens.
The entire NZRU system is centred upon the criticality of coach and coaching skill development, period. The ARU is just left in the dust in this area of deep competency and now, in 2016, we finally see the
systemic consequences of its institutional blind spots and analytical backwardness.
The ARU has effectively wasted the last decade in an obsessive and profoundly mistaken ideology that what Aus rugby required was more quantity, not more, and faster developing, quality.
EJ (Eddie Jones) has learnt this same hard truth re coaching support resources from years of varied national coaching experiences. That's just one reason why he purged every single England support coach he inherited and brought in an entirely new (and far better) coaching group as well as seeking out the Ellas, Johns, Fowlers, Wilkinsons, and so on.
What do we have? One full time coach in Ledesma. A wholly unproven part-time attack coach in Larkham. An unproven part-time sort-of kicking coach in Malone (now recently dismissed fortunately). And so on. Half the problem is that the ARU has no one in its own organisation capable of mentoring and guiding Chieka in building out the coaching group he needs - one only has to assess the hopeless job they did with Deans' support coaches to see how incapable they are in such crucial areas of elite coach resourcing.
If a national HC does not have a rich array of advisory skills within his direct support group and loads of varied elite coaching experience that such a group should provide, then he will inevitably fall back on 'my patterns of past success' and that is partly what Cheika has done with his Wallaby replication of the Tahs' Chiekaball 'constant possession, constant running' model.
The core problem with that model is that you need exceptionally fine skills, and all consistently applied, at national level in order to make it a winning one. We don't possess enough of those skills against the best coached teams.
The hope we have today is to thoughtfully vary the model and still, for every model we may ever invent, improve our total coaching ingenuity and player skill levels. That's why M Byrne's retention reflects very good - and impressively humble - judgement on Chieka's part. He has come to realise he needs far more capability and experience around him than he ever did in Europe or at the Tahs.
It's to his considerable credit that he has done so, in a way the hapless Deans never did. Let's now hope he makes more essential changes and by doing so we will re-enliven a rational basis for hope that our national team can excel more consistently than it's been able to for the last 10 years and more.