Interesting that you didn't calculate Palu into the #8 equation there Pfitzy.
I would think if he keeps playing like last week he's a lock in the starting team at 8. That means you have a much tighter playing 8 and you can afford to start a looser playing 7. Advantage Hooper.
Yes, and many people would ask why, given I'm a Tahs fan. Let me explain why, referencing the other two candidates:
I'm not a big fan of Higgers' seagulling BUT if you pick the right pack around that, you can make great use of it. He needs to stop doing that occasional brain fart thing too. You look at his usefulness against England - and if he has another 7 forwards doing their job, he can switch between being a ball running 8, grabbing the odd turnover, and then supporting the backs with his noted pace.
If the other 7 forwards aren't getting through the shit shovelling though, he's a liability IMHO against a big pack who love to scrum and maul.
I'm a fan of BennyMac's graft - simple, straightforward, rugby with a fucking beard and a large engine. He isn't going to pull off the "holyshithowdidhedothat?" plays but he is going to run at any brick wall in the general direction of where you point. You need that against England - just honest, I-don't-give-two-fucks-who-you-are hard work.
When it comes to Palu, I'm concerned about his age, his injury toll, and his consistency at the moment. But mostly I'm worried about how he gels into a pack that isn't being given multiple weeks to gel.
The Waratahs are inconsistent right now, and him being a leader is a big part of that. He had a great game against the Canes, but he was a penalty magnet against the Rebels, supporting my theory that he's a starting player, not a benchie (as a side note I thought Dave Dennis did alright at #8 last night).
However, in recent Tests that he played, he's been forced into doing a shitload of donkey work, because the other forwards simply haven't stood up. The workload is what leads to his injuries. And particularly if we're training a situation where Cliffy is smashing the ball up, and then playing a game where our other forwards and game plan in general aren't giving him space or opportunities to do it.
If I was picking my best current pack to take on England and Wales, they'd look slightly different - mainly because Wales have pretensions of playing Gatland's standard two-dummy-runners wide ball game (which we can exploit) whereas England will just kick the fuck out of it and use their pack. Palu might feature in the England game, but quite frankly I think they're packing the beef to make him ineffective. Against Wales I'm not sure his old legs are going to get the job done.
So rather than support Palu as my lock-in Waratahs bias pick, I'm going to do something else entirely:
Dave Dennis for #6 as the alternative to Fardy, depending on the opponent.
So against England:
Pocock to steal, disrupt, and generally frustrate
Dennis to help with lineouts and get through the donkey work
BennyMac to fuck people up from 8
Against Wales:
Hooper to switch between wide running and ruck work (people who think he doesn't get turnovers are, in short, developmentally retarded)
Fardy to be a niggly prick in general
Higginbotham to play as the extra centre
Can that work with the games in consecutive weeks? Maybe not.
But if you win one of those games you're pretty much through the pool, so then you get to think about what happens next.