ok, I'll have a go at the Reds.
As alluded to in the Reds thread, the Reds won't be a surprise packet this season. They are officially on the radar and the expectation will be on them, from the fans, and from opposition and from themselves, to perform. Can they?
Props: They've lost Laurie Weeks to the Rebels but he's been replaced, effectively, by former Wallaby THP Guy Shepherdson. But if Guy thought he was guaranteed the 3 jersey he would've been given a sharp does of reality by the performances of James Slipper on the Wallaby tour. Slipper was only an Academy player for the Reds in 2010, and has only started in one Super Rugby match so the challenge will be whether he can perform week in week out as required. And start consistently. Then there is fellow Wallabies Greg Holmes and Ben Daley. One looking to get back into Wallaby contention, and the other debuting this year and wanting to prove that he can cut it at the top level.
Hooker: The retirement of Sean Hardman will be a lose as he was a solid back up to Saia Fainga'a and an important starter when the inexperienced Saia needed the rest. James Hanson, the Reds King of the Gym, will be the man most likely to play back up to Saia and you'd expect he will have to start a game or two. The third string hooker spot, all important from a depth perspective, falls to new squad member but long term Academy member, Albert Anae. The pressure will be on Saia to produce the goods, and stay injury free, otherwise we will be relying on a couple of rookies.
Lock: Another departure to the Rebels, Adam Byrnes, is covered by the signing of former Aussie A utility forward Adam Wallace-Harrison although moreso by the continued development of Rob Simmons. Hopefully James Horwill will be back fit and raring to go come the season's start as the form he showed, albeit in a game and a half, was career best this year. Wallaby tourist and roller of ****s, Van Humphries, is the other lock in the squad whilst late season fill in Radike Samo has been given a full contract for 2011.
Backrow: This is the position with the most areas of question in the squad. Daniel Braid finished up his two year contract and is now back at the Blues. Filling his shoes, from an experience perspective, won't be possible in 2011. From a pure on-field perspective we can probably expect a few of the young stars to be seen in the 7 jersey. Jake Schatz wore it a couple of times this year, whilst Ed Quirk, who made his debut from the bench in the last game, may also feature. All eyes will be on former Australian Schoolboys and 7s star, Liam Gill. A home debut against the might of David Force in Round 1 seems unlikely, but there's every chance he will be there come year end. The other contender for the openside jersey are Lei Tomiki, who is into the last year of his contract and MUST perform. Coach McKenzie's astute Academy recruitment has seen two other players come into contention, in Ben Coridas and Beau Robinson. Both will be pressuring Tomiki for his professional contract in 2012.
Whilst Scott Higginbotham made his Wallaby debut in the last test of the year, off the bench, he will be expected to raise his game to a new level in 2011. A greater impact at the ruck will see him legitimately push for Wallaby inclusion come the World Cup. Both Higgers, Schatz and maybe even Radike Samo will all be pushing Leroy Houston at the back of the scrum. With no Wallaby 8 man able to prove a viable and similar back up to Wycliff Palu, the opportunity is there for Roy to play a similar meter gaining game and get the attention of the Wallaby selectors.
So there's plenty of potential in the backrow, but too match the work load of Braid, and establish a strong combination in the trio will be a uphill challenge. A weakness perhaps.
Scrumhalf: Easy. Will Genia. Was superb for the Reds this year, if not the Wallabies. Benny Lucas will back up. The big questions is whether Sanchez or Kev will be the skipper. My money is on Horwill.
Flyhalf: The big question as to whether who would back up Quade Cooper was finally answered with the signing of kiwi (with an Aussie grandmother) Michael Harris. This guy is good and could be the signing of the year. Another Daniel Braid. Not the flashy player that Quade is, but very skilled, solid and smart. Oh, did I mention he's a goal kicker with a kicking percentage of around 90%?
Centre: Incumbents will remain the front runners, in Anthony Fainga'a and Will Chambers. Ben Tapuai will get some game time, and is now one of the Reds fastest players and is, word has it, looking quite lean! Will be interesting if Digby Ioane gets some more runs at 13, and I for one wouldn't mind seeing a little bit of Chambers at 12, as part of the rotational policy likely to be used. Harris can cover 12 as well.
Wing: There's plenty of speed, deceptive and otherwise, on the wing with Ioane and Rodney Davies being joined by rookies Kimani Situati and Dom Shipperley. Both are quality athletes, with some versatility (Situati possibly a 13 option and Shipperley a fullback back up). Luke Morohan is also around despite being overlooked for the steady Brando Va'aulu last year, but will also have to act as cover for fullback (as he did v the Chiefs).
Fullback: Peter Hynes will start there, but the Reds will be hoping his interest is still there because he struggled to make an impact at any level of footy once the Super season finished. If he doesn't reproduce 2010 Super form, or is injured the cupboard does seem bare. Although, I reckon Harris (again) could play at the back, and Benny Lucas did v the Highlanders this year.
So expectation will be high, but Linky has had the full off-season with them (minus Wallabies) he didn't get last year. He's also had more of a hand in squad selection. Meeting expectations will be the challenge, but the team is young and enthusiastic, so they will be keen to go even better than this year.