Shute Shield 2015

[Hugh Jarse]

Finals Watch Update:
My understanding is the finals series will be the following format:
Week 1: 1 vs 6, 2 vs 5, 3 vs 4
Week 2: Top Ranked Winner vs Highest Ranked Loser, 2nd Ranked Winner vs 3rd Ranked Winner
Week 3: Grand Final - Winners of Week 2 games.

On that basis then, using the round 15 ladder we have:
Manly vs Sydney University, Eastwood vs Randwick, and Southern Districts vs Warringah in Week 1 of the Finals.

The Run home:
Manly - Currently 65 points. Warringah (A), Gordon (A), Randwick (H) - Should win all 3 and take 2 4T BP to finish on 79 points
Eastwood - Currently 64 points. Eastern Suburbs (H), Randwick (A), Warringah (H) - Should win 2/3 and take 3 4T BP to finish on 75 points
Warringah - Currently 51 points. Manly (H), Sydney University (H), Eastwood (H) - Could lose all 3 and take 1 4T BP with 1 <7 point loss BP to finish on 53
Southern Districts - Currently 51 points. Randwick (A), Penrith (H), West Harbour (A) - Should win all 3 and take 3 4T BP to finish on 66 points
Randwick - Currently 48 points, Southern Districts (A), Eastwood (H), Manly (H) - Could lose all 3 and take 2 4T BP with 1 <7 point loss BP to finish on 51 points
Sydney University - Currently 43 points. Gordon (H), Warringah (A), Northern Suburbs (H) - Should win 2/3 and take 2 4T BP to finish on 53 points
Northern Suburbs - Currently 40 points. West Harbour (H), Eastern Suburbs (H), Sydney University (A) - Should win 2/3 and take 2 4T BP to finish on 52 points

Not too many easy fixtures above in their respective runs home, and we may see the impact of the Super Rugby Paratroopers particularly for Randwick and Sydney University, and also the departure of those selected for other nations for their RWC build ups.

Manly and Eastwood seem to have the top two slots booked, with Southern Districts highly likely to take the 3rd position. It's anyones guess what the order of the next three will be.

50+ points seems to be the cut off for the top six. To get there or close, these folk need to win 3/3 with 4T BPs in each game.
Gordon on 36 points are probably out of the running for a top 6 finish given that they face: Sydney University (A), Manly (H), Penrith (A)
West Harbour on 34 points are probably out of the running for a top 6 finish given that they face: Northern Suburbs (H), Parramatta (A), Southern Districts (H).



The Jarseometer prediction for Finals week 1 is:
Manly vs Northern Suburbs, Eastwood vs Warringah, Southern Districts vs Sydney University.

 

[GunnerDownUnder]

Paddy Ryan and Tom Carter back for Uni

Not many Tahs players selected this week by the look of it and infact a few that played last week gone?

 

[qwerty51]

Latu as well. Hopefully they don't make the 6.

 

[GunnerDownUnder]

Latu as well. Hopefully they don't make the 6.

Yeah didnt notice that!
Nah they are in 6, will be a cracking game either at a packed Manly or Eastwood.

 

[GunnerDownUnder]

Southos vs Wicks this weekend is the key to finals order I reckon - no Volavola means it will be close
There has been a bit of negativity surrounding the SS but some of these teams play really good rugby and the finals should all be cracking games.

 

[Hugh Jarse]

Round 16 Team Lists

​

​

Eastwood vs Eastern Suburbs​

Eastwood:
1. Sam Needs, 2. Todd Pearce, 3. Martin Plokstys, 4. James Neale, 5. Jared Barry, 6. Michael Kovacic, 7. Hugh Perrett, 8, Joey Afualo, 9, Matt Gonzalez, 10. Blake Sutton, 11. John Grant, 12. Tom Hill, 13. Mike McDougall, 14. Brad Curtis, 15. Ben Batger
Eastern Suburbs:
1. Clay Brodie, 2. Ryan Dalziel, 3. Jake Ilnicki, 4. BJ Edwards, 5. Fergus Lee-Warner, 6. Kyle Baillie, 7. James Graham, 8, Tom Williams, 9, Jack Grant, 10. Cohan Guerra, 11. Tom Merrit, 12. Josh Toole, 13. Will Fay, 14. Charlie Clifton, 15. Will Paterson

Northern Suburbs vs West Harbour​

Northern Suburbs:
1. Nick Curtis, 2. Scott Podmore, 3. Tyron Rota, 4. Ben Matwijow, 5. Nick Palmer, 6. James Brown, 7. Will Miller, 8, Hugh Sinclair, 9, Tim Duchesne, 10. Mitch Walton, 11. Lochie Creagh, 12. Lachlan Porteous, 13. Jordy Heyer, 14. Richard Woolf, 15. John Porch
West Harbour:
1. Michael Ala'alatoa, 2. Daniel Midghall, 3. Cameron Orr, 4. Tom Games (c), 5. Bradford Kapa, 6. Jordan Tuapou, 7. Cohen Masson, 8, Matt Coles, 9, Max Beer, 10. Dave Harvey, 11. Graeme Kolomalu, 12. Rory Sidey, 13. Ben James, 14. Tito Mua, 15. Liam Windon

Parramatta vs Penrith​

Parramatta:
1. Nick Blacklock, 2. James Holden, 3. Nigel Vaifale, 4. Peter Brush, 5. Andrew Cox, 6. Aisea Namoa, 7. Daniel Tamone, 8, Kura Lalaga, 9, Kaleb Rech, 10. Nathan Langsford, 11. Petero Satogo, 12. Feka Silva, 13. Larry Hermens, 14. Luke Casey, 15. Tomu Mataika
Penrith:
1. Emanuele Fuamatu, 2. Sam Siaki, 3. Ikuna Manuofetoa, 4. Doug Want, 5. Jason Havea, 6. Paea Siualangapo, 7. Sione Pusi'aki Fifita, 8, Tu'itakau Kioa (c), 9, Michael Baysaat, 10. Paku Ironside, 11. Campbell Hislop, 12. Paueli Halafihi, 13. Paula Makasini, 14. Pio Tuitavake, 15. Peniasi Dakuwaqa

Randwick vs Southern Districts​

Randwick:
1. Tristain Goodbody, 2. Peter Nau, 3. Dashville Kuate, 4. Jock Armstrong, 5. Will Munro, 6. Ned Hanigan, 7. Mark Baldwin, 8, Sam Figg, 9, Mitch Short, 10. Andrew Deegan, 11. Jack Pennington, 12. David Horwitz, 13. Brogan Roods, 14. Henry Hutchinson, 15. Andrew Kellaway
Southern Districts:
1. Salesi Maumalanga, 2. Liam Dwyer, 3. Cameron Betham, 4. Fili Tufui, 5. Andrew Leota, 6. Marcus Carbone, 7. Jono Hayes, 8, Jed Holloway, 9, Waldo Wessels, 10. Jordan McGregor, 11. Alex Gibbon, 12. Apolosi Latunipulu, 13. Deny Godinet, 14. Afa Pakalani, 15. Ben Connelly

Sydney University vs Gordon​

Sydney University:
1. Paddy Ryan, 2. Silatolu Latu, 3. Tomas Robertson, 4. Rohan O'Regan, 5. Matthew Philip, 6. Tom Shaw, 7. Jake Wainwright, 8, Mitchell Whiteley, 9, Jake Gordon, 10. Benjamin Hughes, 11. Matthew Narracott, 12. Tom Carter, 13. Jim Stewart, 14. Mark O'Dare, 15. Tom Kingston
Gordon:
1. Nick Fraser, 2. James Wilkinson, 3. Lefu Iaopo, 4. Luke Heavey, 5. Andrew Chapman, 6. Jack Dempsey, 7. Luke Rissman, 8, Jordan Goddard, 9, Pat Curtin, 10. Will Shirvington, 11. Sione Ala, 12. Tui Tuisavaii, 13. Lucas Simkin, 14. Matt McDougall, 15. Erik Moss

Warringah vs Manly (Televised Live on 7Two)​

Warringah:
1. Rory O'Connor, 2. Robert Kelly, 3. Wayne Borsack, 4. Sam Crompton, 5. Junior Palau, 6. James Cunningham, 7. Boyd Killingworth, 8, Sam Ward, 9, Josh Holmes, 10. Hamish Angus, 11. Seb Wileman, 12. Tyson Davis, 13. Chris Arnold, 14. Jamie Forbes, 15. Dave Feltscheer
Manly:
1. Dane Maraki, 2. Vance Elliot, 3. Jerome Vaai, 4. Ed Gower, 5. Caderyn Neville, 6. Harry Bergelin, 7. Mitch Daniel, 8, Dan Alley, 9, Matt Lucas, 10. Sam Lane, 11. Alex Northam, 12. John Fakai, 13. Dennis Pili-Gaitau, 14. Richard Hooper, 15. Reece Hodge

 

[MACCA]

Brogan has a heart as big as Phar lap and will play on Saturday.

 

[Hugh Jarse]

5/6 again last week, and got close with the 6th game.

Round 16 Tips
Eastwood v Eastern Suburbs. Woodies by 20+. Can't see the Beasties doing what they did last year.

Northern Suburbs v West Harbour. The Shoremen need to win this comfortably if they want to have a decent go at being in the final six. Pirates just haven't been able to consistently keep their foot on the throat of their opponents to steal the chocolates regularly. Shoremen by 7-12.

Parramatta v Penrith. The M2B have had a tough year being on the wrong side of too many close tussles. The battle of the West won't be close, but it will be a tussle. M2B by lots.

Randwick v Southern Districts. Randi-Wix opponent will miss VolvoVolvo's guiding hand while he is away on Fiji duties but they still should have too much firepower to withstand the young Gallopers backline and win by 10-18.

Sydney University v Gordon. With some of their Pro paratroopers back from Super Rugby duties, The Corporation are a different beast to the mob that were beaten under lights at Chatswood Oval in the deferred game. The Corporation by 10-20.

Warringah v Manly. Rightly the televised match, and it should be a cracker. Rats have a very tough run in to the finals and this is their time to make a statement that they are a genuine Grand Finalist. It will be close for a while but the MMM should prevail by 10-15.

 

[the coach]

The Wicks have an opposed session against Argentina at Latham tomorrow night. Not sure of the wisdom of that a few weeks out from the finals. Don't be surprised if there's a few withdrawals from the named team for Saturday.

 

[blindsider]

The Wicks have an opposed session against Argentina at Latham tomorrow night. Not sure of the wisdom of that a few weeks out from the finals. Don't be surprised if there's a few withdrawals from the named team for Saturday.

There was no contact session or opposed scrums. They just trained there and some of it was combined with the Wicks 1st XV. Lots of people there to watch including a heap of great looking Argentinian ladies!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[blindsider]

good crowd to see the Puma's at Latham Park last night

 

[wamberal]

Pity they didn't play a match, my money would have been on the Galloping Greens to run 'em off the paddock.

 

[qwerty51]

Pity they didn't play a match, my money would have been on the Galloping Greens to run 'em off the paddock.

I reckon the Pumas would've won by 80. 4 penalty tries.

They have a match on Saturday against Souths away already.

 

[Hugh Jarse]

​

The Qantas Australian Men's Sevens program today announced Paul Asquith and Alex Gibbon have been released from their contracts at their own request.


Both players will be available to represent Southern Districts for the remainder of the 2015 Intrust Shute Shield season.


Qantas Australian Men's Sevens Head Coach Geraint John said: "Alex [Gibbon] and Paul [Asquith] have decided to go back to their clubs and play XVs Rugby which I have supported. Both were excellent individuals and people and I wish them the very best playing regularly for their club and hopefully NRC later in the year. It was good to see them playing for Southern Districts against Sydney University in the Shute Shield and have a chat with them post-game.

read more here:

http://www.rugby.com.au/News/NewsAr...stralian-Mens-Sevens-program-release-duo.aspx

 

[Quick Hands]

Manly up 24-3 with 10 to go till half time. Rats look ok with the ball, but turnovers are killing them. Manly look too skillful and too quick with ball in hand.

 

[GunnerDownUnder]

27-14 to emus at oranges here at merrylands!

 

[Quick Hands]

Rats in just before half time, 24-10 to Manly. Manly need to make sure that they don't let Warringah back into this. Early points have kept the crowd quiet, expect an all out Rats onslaught after half time. Manly need to sort out basic mistakes, we've kicked out on the full twice from kick-offs.

 

[Dave Beat]

 

[Quick Hands]

As predicted Rats have come out like men possessed after half time. Two tries score 24-22 to Manly.

 

[GunnerDownUnder]

29-27 to MTBs