I know a lot of comments in here should be taken with a grain of salt. But…
Brumbies deserve to be favourites, especially at home and given they stuck it to Qld at Suncorp, but I think the Recs still have a good crack.
The hype about the Reds at the start of the year wasn’t that they had a star studded first XV. I think everyone acknowledged the Brumbies were clearly ahead on that front. It was that we had the best depth we’ve had for probably ever. So even though our injury list is extensive the team we are running out is still pretty decent.
Also, while guys like Wilson & Lynagh have been excellent Brial has played plenty of rugby this year and has been generally very good & McLaughlin-Phillips hasn’t been hidden away at all and has had starts against the Chiefs, the Crusaders & the Drua plus plenty of minutes off the bench. We still have Wallabies at 9, 12, 13 & 15 and the forward pack has plenty of test experience. It isn’t our strongest bench of the year but it’s still decent.
Last time we played the Brumbies their pack rolled over ours. If we let that happen again Ikitau & Wright et al will be looking superstars and there’ll be calls for Meridith as a Smokey for Gold (okay - maybe that’s a stretch).
But our pack really doesn’t have any excuse for that. Early in the season we were winning the collisions. We’ve dropped off in the last few weeks. Guys like Asiata, Canham, Nonggorr, De Lutiis, Smith & Brial have to get the job done up front.
I guess if the Brumbies win no one is really going to think too much of it but if guys like the 6 above (particularly the first 5) really want to impress Schmidt then this is a red hot opportunity to put their name in lights. If nothing else they should at least want to make Tualima eat his words.