With the 2024 season approaching, and an almost unchanged roster at the Brumbies, I am looking forward to another (mostly) successful year for the Ponies. The main personnel losses from 2023 are the Lord, Laurie Fisher, and Pete Samu. Nic White is also nicking off to the Force, but imo he won't be missed as much as the two mentioned above.
Coming in to replace Laurie, in numbers if not in discipline, is erstwhile favourite Brumby and Wallaby captain Ben Mowen to take charge of lineout operations. I expect to see a real improvement in the Brumbies lineout this year over the past two years.
Pete Samu will be replaced within the roster with Jahrome Brown playing a like for like role at 6 or 7, Tom Hooper continuing his rise as the premier No 6 and Charlie Cale likely to be putting severe pressure on any of the backrow spots.
Taking a lead from TSR's model of his preview of the Reds, here are my thoughts on the year ahead:
1. Front Row : still one of the strongest combinations in the competition with Wallabies at 1, 2 and 3 in James Slipper, Blake Schoupp, Lachlan Lonergan, Billy Pollard (1 test) and Allan Ala'alatoa. Allan unfortunately suffered an injury late last year and will probably miss some games in '24, but there are worthy replacements in Sefo Kautai and Rhys van Nek.
2. Forwards : top class second row with Nick Frost, Cadeyrn Neville and Darcy Swain which should see domination at lineout time against most teams. The backrow contains two current Wallabies in Tom Hooper and Rob Valetini. Jahrome Brown will probably start the year at No 7 but will have two excellent players pushing him in Luke Reimer and Rory Scott, while I won't be at all surprised if Cale is in the starting side towards the end of the season.
3. Halves : Nic White has been lost to the Force but will be more than adequately replaced by Ryan Lonergan, although playing a different style of game. Expect to see more play making at the 10 and 15 spots which should benefit the attacking style of game I expect Steve Larkham to concentrate more on this year. Noah Lolesio and Jack Debreczini were fighting out for the 10 spot at the end of season '23, but the joker in the pack this year might be Declan Meredith. Declan was recruited from Cairns last year as a fullback but played most, perhaps all, of last year's JID Cup competition at 10 and I'm sure was awarded the JID Cup player of the year in '23.
4. Centres : this year should see Len Ikitau cement his place as a world class and the premier Aussie No 13. He has all the skills and is probably the outstanding backline defence manager in the Aussie franchises. No 12 is a NZ shoot-out between Tamati Tua and Ollie Sapsford. Ollie is Wallaby eligible through family, I believe, and could come into consideration at 12 for the Wallabies given the lack of many outstanding prospects for the spot across the franchises.
5. Back three : I expect to see Andrew Muirhead (11), Cory Toole (14) and Tom Wright (15) start at the back. It won't surprise me though, if Wright is moved to one wing and Muirhead and Toole battle out or alternate in the other during the season with Jack Debreczini taking the 15 spot during the season. Fan favourite, Ben O'Donnell is a very strong replacement in case of injury or form drop.
6. Player prospects : Billy Pollard at hooker, Blake Schoupp at LHP, Charlie Cale in the backrow, Declan Meredith at 10 or 15 are all players who could catch our eyes in the coming year. Longer term, there are exciting prospects in Tevita Alatini (THP), Liam Bowron (Hooker), Toby MacPherson (Lock), Lachlan Hooper (6/7/8), Lleyton Tuatua (6), Dan Nelson (No 9), Cullen Grey (10), Angus Staniforth (wing/15) and Shane Wilcox (15). Of these, I think Alatini and Staniforth are simply outstanding.
All in all, the side taking the field early on will look almost exactly the same as finished last year. Continuity is a good thing and if Ben Darwin is correct in his view of connections forged through playing together, the Brumbies can be expected to go deep into the Super Rugby competition again this year. In the interests of Australian rugby overall, I hope they, or one of our other sides can take the trophy in'24.