No Fardy? Wobs mongrel factor just halved IMO & with Moore the captain he can't afford to pick up the slack, rock-Peyper-scissors don't like dat shit.
So unit by unit I'd say it's:
Front rows: starters adv Wobs but only 'cos Coles isn't there, finishers about even.
Locks: adv AB, compounded if Wobs choose to or are forced to make a sub.
6-7-8: starters about even, adv AB when the subs come on.
Halves: adv AB from go to whoa.
Centres: adv Wobs esp. if Gits can go the distance.
Back 3: adv AB
Bench: adv AB
Scrum: adv Wobs but probably won't be that many & also rock-Peyper-scissors so anything's possible rulings-wise.
Lineout: adv AB by some margin.
Breakdown: about even.
Attack:
AB: Wobs have poor exit kicking & lineout so kick deep & to touch to expose lineout OR deep but not out to isolate Foley (must keep ball away from Folau, tho) OR go wide in <3 passes to outflank Wobs 11 & 14 who ain't too quick.....
Wobs: something something Folau something something Giteau & AAC (Adam Ashley-Cooper) something something Folau...... Just gotta work on the something something
Defence:
AB: Crotty's solid enough but Fekitoa is a worry esp if Folau gets it with some room to wind up, move or, worse, both. Also Naholo & Savea major both turn like the proverbial so IF Foley/ Gits/ whomever can get the ball in behind them........
Wobs: no Fardy so who's gonna do the shit work ~2m either side of contact when, oh let's say Retallick, Kaino or later on Savea minor come calling? McCalman? Don't think so. Big yards to be made in those parts........
Still reckon AB <12.