Sud Rugby has written an interesting blog about the test match here:
http://www.greenandgoldrugby.com/voila-your-inside-track-on-les-bleus/
Further down I responded so:
That's a good write up Sud Rugby; enjoyed it.
I wouldn't be quite as confident about France, though they are due to beat the Wallabies after going down to them 5 games in a row, and I wouldn't be too surprised if they did.
I don't think you can take too much from that summer win by France in Argentina, and don't forget they lost the first test. As you know: few of the Puma players who played against France in June were first rankers and not many of them were in the main team for the TRC - for example: only one started against the Wallabies in Oz, though a couple more were in the team for the home game in Rosario.
I know that Parra and FTD were the halves when Argentina beat France in the first June test and that Machenaud and Michalak were the halves in the second when France gave them a thrashing to square the series; so it is fair enough to keep that combination.
But I was still a bit surprised because Parra has been in good form for Clermont and Machenaud not stellar for RM in the Top14 games I have seen. Mind you, we get only get a couple of games a week from the Top14 on TV in Australia; so it's not a big sample.
France are not using the most exciting centre pairing they could have, but it's a solid midfield for test matches, and at least Fofana is in the XV, on the wing, where he has starred for Clermont in the past.
France have a huge attacking advantage in the back three and they have to take advantage of it. At least Wallaby AAC (Adam Ashley-Cooper) has experience that he can use on defence - but Fofana and Clerc operating against the other two, Harris and Cummins, is a scary thought for an Aussie fan.
LHP Forestier playing in his first test at age 30, and starting, is another surprise for me and how will Szarzweski respond being the main guy at hooker now? Servat will be missed but it had to happen.
Dusautoir will be missed also, especially with Bonnaire not around these days. The names Nyanga and Ouedrago don't resonate the same as the other two, though they have big engines. I think they should have chosen a true blindside flanker at 6 - a big bopper like Suta - to start, instead of playing from the bench, and have one of the others relieve him in the second half.
Like Forrestier, Suta is another late bloomer - and you say he is from Wallis & Futuna? What are the chances that he and Christopher Tolofuna, from such a small place, would both be playing for France? A pity that the 18 y.o. hooker is suspended else they could have played together in Suta's first test match.
No.8 Picamoles is in the form of his life and will worry the Oz tacklers unless they get him low. I rate him highly.
The scrum battle will be interesting. Although the Wallabies thrashed France in their last match two years ago they didn't scrum well against them and suffered a penalty try. They will outweigh the France scrum by 40-50kgs this time but they probably did last time too and it didn't help.
France will have an advantage in that they have played under all the new laws being trialled, but I think the 5 second rule will actually help Australia because it will force the Wallaby scrummie to act.
I think it's a wonderful change and the sooner it becomes official law, the better.
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