What we can say right now is that the NZ conference looks the strongest. The Highlanders, Chiefs and Crusaders have all been good and now the Blues have bounced back to knock over the Bulls at home, no easy task. Only the Hurricanes look off the pace and yet they are 2 of 3 and won decisively this weekend. If their form continues I think we will see three NZ teams in the finals, despite them having lots of tough derbies. The Waratahs played with huge intensity last night but were still taken apart at the breakdown. Most lesser teams from SA and NZ are going to get thrashed by NZ teams unless there are some major form reversals.
Compare that with the SA conference where the Stormers are 3 from 3 but less than impressive, the former standouts the Bulls have had a touch-up at altitude, the Sharks have won 1, the Lions look mid-table at very best and the Cheetahs are not their 2011 version.
Then there is the Oz conference. The Brumbies have good points position but form is not good, the Rebels are 0 from 2 but improving, the Force are in a disastrous place, uncompetitive with the weakest NZ franchise, the Waratahs are 1 from 3 although their form is the best in the conference and the Reds head for a really tough road trip to SA with poor form but three wins.
Its a long season but early indications are that the Stormers will get first spot in SA easily, NZ will be four teams looking to fill three or four spots and the Reds and Tahs fighting for a top spot and with two of the four NZ teams for the last two spots.