A few of us have been wondering what is going on with the reallocation of players from the WF to other franchises. There has been a deathly silence from the ARU about how this will all be achieved, and about the financial arrangements that will apply.
It seems to me that there must be a lift in the current salary cap to allow a fair whack of the surplus WF players to relocate. Even allowing that the ARU has guaranteed their contracts (or at least any loss of earnings I would guess) there would have to be very large doubts about any of the Franchises being able to cough up any additional money to fulfil the contract obligations they are inheriting, so further largish grants or loans from the ARU must be on the cards.
And that just gets us over the immediate problems. What then happens when the existing contracts run out? I imagine most of the ex-WF players will only have a year or two at most to run. If they are the top line players the Franchises would be looking at, then they (the Franchises) will be faced with a huge dilemma at the end of 2018 and/or 2019. Presumably, any cap increase then will be removed by the ARU or what is the purpose of axing the Force at all. I can see there will be a big clean out at any of the Franchises who do take a number of ex-WF players on. The alternative would surely be further deficits and possible bankruptcy.
If, on the other hand, the ARU backs out of its commitment to meet the current contracts of ex-WF players, then any Franchise looking to recruit the bigger name players suddenly on the market would have to do so from their existing operations. Just a quicker route to possible bankruptcy.
I rather think some of the bigger name ex-WF players, like Adam Coleman, might just be wondering and considering the likelihood of another Franchise going bust either before the end of the current broadcast deal, or at the latest in 2020. Would they willingly put themselves in a situation similar the one they've just gone through with the Force?
It won't surprise me at all if a number of top line ex-WF players opt to go overseas for a year or so until the waters calm down a bit over here, and then if any opportunities exist to come back in time for RWC consideration. In my version of things, some high profile Locks like Douglas, Simmons and Carter will probably have concluded that the RWC is out of reach and will be looking for overseas gigs around 2019. There just might be some good options opening up for the likes of Coleman at the Reds, Tahs or Brumbies. He might look upon that as a better pathway than to associate himself with a Franchise that is more likely not to be around in the medium term.