It continues to surprise me how little comment or assessment there has been over what is, managerially speaking, a key consideration in the Tahs performance throughout 2015.
Namely: Cheika has for the entire pre-season period and right up until yesterday been appointed to do two highly demanding jobs with actual or potential conflicting priorities as to time invested and/or the nature of the two tasks to be performed.
To me it was clear that Cheika's high coaching intensity, very close engagement with every nuance of the Tahs' game planning, training, team motivation, individual player development etc was crucial to the Tahs' title win in 2014 - he's just that type of man, and that type of coach. And that MO is key to his type of succeeding.
This year, as dual Wallaby HC and Tahs HC he's of necessity had to split his time and attention to two very different tasks and goal sets. These certainly conflict in terms of time and mental focus, and they probably conflict in terms of attitudinal disposition at any one time. A national team development, national coaching team creation, selection, international opposition assessment etc etc process is a very different task to a State-based, S15-only one.
The always-known core risk of this dual role - which the likes of the NZRU would never contemplate - was that either one role would negatively affect the other or that, worse, both would end up being performed less than optimally. Cheika would have to be super-human for this known risk not to exist with neon lights on.
I thought that last night the Tahs looked like a team that was not truly well prepared for that game against that team, and that prior attention to crucial execution detail was lacking - that a line out can fail that badly and that consistently is as much a lack of intensive coaching application as it is one of player fault. And why hasn't the Tahs' kicking game improved in 2015 over 2014 as it needed to? This is not to critique the Tahs, rather I cannot help but conclude that somewhere, in a place we can't quite see, Chieka's coaching intensity and application has not in 2015 been to the same standards as were 2014's.
With this dual national and Super role, something somewhere had to give.
The other side of all this worries me even more: as at today, just 3 months from WC game 1, Cheika has still not assembled a complete and obviously well enough qualified pre RWC Wallaby coaching group. There is no kicking coach, there is no forwards and set piece coach. There is no mental skills coach (as the ABs have with the peerless Enoka). (And, as an aside, Larkham's 'attack' capabilities are looking like little more than mauling excellence coupled with a loose 'play what's in front of you' model for the backs that has not in total worked well for the Brums.)
This lack of a complete, top-notch national coaching group so very close to a RWC is unprecedented for a Tier 1 rugby nation even more so for one going into into a very tough RWC pool. I fear we will lack the raw talent to overcome its absence.
Much of the above arises from the dark cataclysm of the Patston-Beale affair and all that came from it. The complex consequences of all that led to that moment, and all that has derived from it, may be felt within the heartlands of Australian rugby for a very long time.