Reasons Why the Brumbies Will Triumph Over the Waratahs
I have tried to come up with reasoned arguments relating to why the Brumbies will feast upon the flowers of NSW. As you can see, through precise statistical analysis I am being in no way un
biased.
The Brumbies can play both conservative and expansive football, the Waratahs will run it which is their strength. The Brumbies will know what to expect, but the Tahs do not. This makes preparation for the game more problematic for the Waratahs and may result in organisational errors.
The Tah’s defensive frailties have been glossed over by their resounding win against the then injury depleted Brumbies at Homebush. Over the two head to head fixtures the Tahs missed 64 tackles, while the Brumbies missed less than half that number(31). This is especially curious when you consider that the Tahs had nearly twice as many runs (245 v 125).
When playing against each other this year Mogg averages a try in Folau’s face per game. Folau only gets 0.5 tries per game, well down from his season average of 0.77. It’s especially poor from Folau when you consider even Ben Robinson averages the same against the Brumbies.
The Brumbies have more recent experience of finals football. The Waratahs last foray into the post season was three years ago, and they lost. The Brumbies played last week and won.
Over the last 12 months the Brumbies have won every away semi-final, including downing the highly fancied Bulls in Johannesburg.
Every time the ‘Tahs have played the brumbies after a bye this year, the Brumbies have won.
If all that evidence isn’t enough, last time the Brumbies played a final in Sydney they won 51- 10, spookily that game was a semi-final against the Waratahs, at the SFS!