PaarlBok said:
Oom Lee, so whats your thoughts on the semi? Know you usually wait till after the match but this one is pretty special and I want to know the real experts thoughts on the semi. :nta:
I think we are only a 30/70 chance unless we play our best forward game of the year. I'm not worried about our backs, but the hot and cold performance of our forwards is a big worry.
As Bruce mentioned on another thread: Oz forwards have trouble grinding teams down physically. All Oz S14 teams experienced that too often and the Tahs were embarrassed in Round 12 by the Highlanders - our worst game. The Clan counter-rucked the Tahs at will and when their forwards had the ball they pick and went through us for most of the game.
The Tahs were also embarrassed in their 2nd worst game against the Stormers in Round 2. They didn't fire a shot and consequently the backs were walking back when we had the ball and scrambling when the Stormers had it.
The Stormers didn't play so well in a couple of games on tour but they are playing at home.
I note that I haven't talked about individual players or set pieces: it is the team dynamic, especially the pack dynamic, that is critical in my eyes.
We may have to rely on the Stormers not playing their best by putting pressure on them to do so - and as part of that pressure to turn the ball over and scoring the odd try from it. A poor goal kicking game by Grant would be handy also as would a severe 24 hour flu suffered by Burger and Bekker. What a couple of champs.