Definitely QLD has their off-field shit sorted which puts them in a better position than the other way around. NSW still have a lot of politics in the back office (because they have more parties) that threaten to hamstring things if the success of the Tahs is threatened.
Grass roots would continue to thrive and the state would soon boast the highest participation numbers in the sport in the country,
I always get twitchy when people start talking about rugby playing numbers - even on GAGR we have articles about it.
http://www.greenandgoldrugby.com/wh...keptical-about-the-aru-participation-numbers/
However we can assume that the numbers cooked up by the ARU are being equally well-burned across states, then QLD has snuck ahead after nearly getting there in 2012.
Its enough to say that NSW and QLD are about on par, with QLD experiencing good growth lately (cooking or not) after the 2011 success was reinforced the next year with good performances.
Note that the addition of Sevens numbers will skew the whole argument (in fact, it is already) as we get closer to the Olympics.
Thing is, if rugby was growing as much as the ARU has said in its reports, then the Subbies' and Premier competitions in both our major rugby cities would be going gangbusters.
They're not, as anyone who could read the team listings could see.
I was honestly surprised to see how small the QLD Suburban comp was in Brisbane, though maybe those junior numbers coming through will help. I knew Premier Rugby up there was a few clubs shorter than ours, but then when you look at Gordon/Parra/Penrith, the difference of 3 clubs doesn't seem like that much of a shortfall.
Sydney Subbies has been shedding numbers of late including whole divisions going uncontested for the last 5 years. But despite losing a couple of the top clubs to other competitions next year, and maybe Fifth Division not being contested again, there will still be around 142 Senior Grades and between 20 and 30 Colts (U21) grades getting around. Probably once you take the overflow competition into account you're talking close to 180 teams running around every weekend.
But compare that to when I started playing Subbies and they had all teams filling a Six-Division comp (170+ Senior Grades), with overflow sometimes giving a club 7 senior grades, and its not exactly thriving.