Yes Gnostic, but for me the telling clue in 2011 was the lack of a complete Waratah's coaches change process.
Despite years and years of no S1x prize, the Waratahs management was still, despite all this, not resolved to ensure a radical improvement, they sought timid post-Hickey incrementalism. They lacked the spine and professional courage a la ACT RU for a full restart - one could sense the echoes of 'we are good enough not to need restarting, we just need a freshen up with Rocky back as Captain, we are really proto-champs that just don't quite score enough points'. So Foley was promoted, Bowen was kept on (despite years of seriously uneven backs performance and execution failures) and merely given a 'senior mentor' in Gaffney (whom most in Ireland said was way beyond his best days). All this was the opposite of decisive courage for the franchise, it was an odd combination of overconfidence in the Waratahs' system combined with underconfidence in management's ability to affect real change: 'why take the risk, if we don't really need to'.
I think WJ has a very telling point he made recently: the Tahs are always just good enough and just do enough not to have a good-enough-big-enough crisis to force the idea that a radical restart is required for the entire Tahs system, not just 'incremental improvements' somehow based upon the assumption that a championship is only a tantalizing 5% away, not 50% away in real terms.
So the modern Tahs kind of stagger on, uplifting every 3rd week, 'just off' every second, 'appallingly mediocre' every 4th. And what really worries me this year is that the legion of good posters here who love their Tahs seem to have given up their angry passion, and have settled in to a kind of resigned fondness for the old cardigan and slippers, knowing that a better set of clothes will never emerge, 'another good loss with lots of heart' is enough, and, nowadays, will always be enough. The mood has changed. Like a form of happy defeat.