If we're being honest with ourselves there is absolutely no realistic hope of us going deep in this competition.
For mine, the dead rubber win vs BIL counts for very little. I suggest the first half of game 2 was easily the best we played all year. The win against RSA was impressive and an 8-point loss the following week wth injuries to Wright, Ikitau and another (forward?) was a solid outing.
The Argentinian win was encouraging and showed good fight in the contest, however the following week's loss in Sydney characterised by ill-discipline and a late-fought comeback (which ended up with us falling short) was a head-scratcher. I am happy to put that game down to scoreboard pressure and some ridiculous refereeing however ironically, we havent seemed to be able to buck the trend of the past 5-7 years of inconsistency.A solid outing followed by an underwhelming (& narrow) loss.
Bledisloe again was made much of and delivered little. I believed that this was our best chance of winning the bled in decades however we struggled to get into the game and whilst we were close with 10 to go, we dont have the depth and class coming on late to give us a chance to close games out. The depth issue is serious, especially in the halves. I cant emphasise this enough, we have serious issues in the halves and have had so for 5 years now.
Game 2 v Bledisloe was again, plagued by injuries to Will Skelton and Nic White - costly losses and we struggled to get into the contest due to ill-discipline. Whilst I completely and totally disagree with how World Rugby are clearly ordering the referees to officiate games, Australia simply showed this year that they have failed to adapt from Super Rugby officiating to international officiating. In fact, whilst I havent watched a lot of New Zealand this year, I would imagine this has been an issue as well. I'd like to see the stats of penalties conceded by nation this year if anyone can share.
Where i was most discouraged this year however was against Japan in Japan.
Schmidt is clearly the best option atm however the decision to captain CDC was a howler for all australian supporters. You may say that is an overreaction hwoever in the current context of Wallabies world rankings, proximity to the home World Cup and recent form it was blantantly the wrong decision which set the tone for the spring tour. a "calculated risk" resulted in a narrow, confusing win against the 11th ranked team in the world. The most discouraging of all, was the teams 30-phase persistance with the pick and drive, which ultimately lead to Carlo Tizzano being held up over the line. Say what you will about the Wallabies fielding a 3rd-tier side, I simply dont buy it. The team which ran out on that field were the Wallabies, captained by a 2-cap rookie. When asked about the decision to captain CDC, Schmidt referred to his leadership role at Sydney University, the local comp sydney-NSW competition. No further comment on this as the coaching conversation doesn't excite me nor do I want to see schmidt leave and reality is, had the wallabies won a few more games this year, I wouldnt have raised this as a point of concern anyway. but they didnt, instead they recorded wins against BIL, RSA, Fiji, Japan and Argentina. That game against Japan felt like a loss to me. COuldnt care less what one may say about a win being a win, if you expect to win the Bledisloe Cup, Rugby Championship or dare I say the RWC, then the fashion in which you win matters a lot.,
I've gone on enough about this game but one final point I wish to reiterate is the lack of talent, depth and experience we have in the halves. Where was the voice calling for the ball when the wallabies we're in their 29th phase of P&D? Matt Giteau, Drew Mitchell both seemed bemused by this moment and the alarm bells were ringing louder than ever 24 months out from the world cup - WE DONT HAVE A FLYHALF. The spring tour commenced with an expected loss against England. And just when everyone was asking "we cant lose to Italy again, can we?" the wallabies answered us with a big fat yep. Welcome back Carter Gordon. Sorry about throwing you to the wolves against the All Blacks at the MCG, or dropping you following 2 losses on the trot following our worst ever world cup in France.
The management of our flyhalves is concerning and while "load management" is a justified consideration, consistency should prevail. Losses to Ireland and France closed out a winless spring tour for the wallabies. So here, we are having invested a long season into Tane Edmed, the player who former Wallaby assistant Coach Dan Mckellar dropped and subsequently did not re-sign for 2026 with 5/15 wins for the season. I'd be fine with this if James O'Connor hadnt been avaliable to start and steer us through every one of those games, but he was. Reality is that Tane Edmed is not world-class nor is he the genuine option to lead us into the World Cup in 2027, I dont think he has shown that he has the potenial to be able to do so either but Im comofrted by the fact that he wouldnt have been there had injuries not permitted either. Some other talking points, I'm beginning to listen to those questioning whether JAS at 13 is the right move. I do believe if he had a world-class 10 inside him, its the right call, but he doesnt and nor does he have one on the way.
If we want to play a running style of attack, then we have the building blocks in the forwards to do so, I like Bell & Tupou in the front, Im concerned by Pollards throwing but its the best we have. Frost and Skelton are world-class. skelton for his size, Frost for his technical skill at the line-out. McReight is my 7 and captain. Whilst I thoroughly enjoy and am inspired by Wilson, I think we have seen enough of him to know that his selection at 8 is not in the best interests of the team. He is skilful with ball in hand but ultimately, you're not looking for a ball-handler at 8. This team needs punch in the forward pack, particularly with the clouds over Skelton's fitness. Rob Valetini is my starting 8 and has proved over multiple years that when played there, he is in the top eschalon world-wide. Whilst Tom Hooper had a strong year he again folds with ball in hand and struggles to get over the A-line and if we had this in spades elsewhere he would be my long-term, no brain choice at 6. but the wallabies dont have this which is why I think a Langi Gleeson provides what Tom Hooper doesnt in ball running and metres gained. I wouldnt die over a ditch on this point and also dont mind or care who wears the 6/8 jersey's between RV & LG.
To my original point, attack starts with the forwards and the forward pack I have just laid out can lay the bedrock for a worldclass attack. Jake Gordon has the best pass and box kick of all the halfbacks playing in Aus he also poses an attacking threat so he keeps his spot at starting 9. Tate is clearly the most explosive option at 9 which is why he comes on with 25 to go as Gordon slows down. We've spoken enough about fly-half but my final point will be that if RA dont do something about this position pre-world cup I give our chances zero-nothing of making it past an expected QF against england in '27.Before we get into the centres I'd like to go back to the option of playing JAS at 15. With a strong forward-pack yet no flare in the halves, we have to explore oter areas to find this spark. JAS to 15 gives him more time with ball in hand and opportunity to break the game open. This is common practice and history shows through the likes of Folau, Halfpenny, that it is possible to build your attack with a gamebreaker at the back.
This move leaves you Tom Wright out of a home (potential fly-half?) which I dont like but it does give Len Ikitau the opportunity to return to his favoured position of outside centre and yet leaves another hole at 12 (which is why I think Schmidt has persisted with JAS at 13). Im not totally sold on this strategy as I dont think there is a viable 12 opton playing in Australian Rugby Union. I will be contraversial in saying that had Angus Crichton jumped over in 2024, this could've been an option to explore.
Wing is where things get excitign with potential Jorgensen, Nawanqanitewase, Wright, Pietsch and Potter as options to fill your back 3. that is a world class back 3 and these players were all avaliable to the gold-jersey before the disaster of the pool-stage exit so Les Kiss should be cautious not to repeat the past errors of Jones in putting hope in a team which lacks genuine 10 option.
What I have hinted at and refrained from expanded on is looking at alternative competitions for talent i.e. the NRL. It doesnt have to be Nathan Cleary but even a Katoa, Mitchell Moses, etc would create opportunities for the star-studded backline to score tries and make games easier for our forward pack. Someone who can kick 90% of conversions, exit our 22 cleanly, kick the occasional 50-22 is what every world-class, world cup winnning team has. Might I also add that most of the world top nations do not have the same level of competition for Rugby talent that Australia does and so I think the Rugby public needs to get over its forced allergy to poaching league talent. There is a world where cultivating our own development pathways and diligently scouting league talent can live in unity together to promote the Wallabies into a world powerhouse once again.
A much needed reality check is that no kid who watches the wallabies lose to Italy will be begging their parents to sign up for their local club. The generation which grew up on Larkham-Gregan is nearly gone and we cannot expect any child to WANT to play rugby if they have to go into the archives to find evidence of any past silverware. Buy a play-maker, structure it how you like - clauses to play overseas, i dont care so long as come October 1 when the Wallabies are lining up for the anthems of Australia and New Zealand, there is a world-class flyhalf, playmaker wearing gold.
My final comment, is that Aus. does not have an enticing competition for any genuine playmaker i.e. super rugby doesn't cut it. this is a seperate discussion but worthy or raising given I have pressed for cross-code poaching and would like to acknowledge this as a major set-back in recruiting young and developed talent.