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Wales v Australia, Monday 18 November 3:10am AEDT

fatprop

George Gregan (70)
Staff member
I have my doubts that he will play Gleeson & Valetini together. Whenever he’s had a choice he’s replaced Valetini with Gleeson as they are very similiar player profiles.

If he does bring Gleeson into the starting backrow then I really can’t see him giving Skelton a start.
Yeah Gleeson doesn't provide the lineout cover

I would think Lukhan Salakaia-Loto or Williams must be a backrow option with Skelton likely to be coming in
 

Tex

Greg Davis (50)
Not following Wales' travails too closely, but I must say I'm a bit disappointed to see the media pile onto the easy win narrative. "Woeful Wales" was one headline I read/heard over the last few days from an Australian outlet and if we can use a Ben Youngs podcast gaffe as motivation, surely we're tempting the gods of the valleys by riding into Cardiff on our own arrogant high horse.
 

Dctarget

Tim Horan (67)
Not following Wales' travails too closely, but I must say I'm a bit disappointed to see the media pile onto the easy win narrative. "Woeful Wales" was one headline I read/heard over the last few days from an Australian outlet and if we can use a Ben Youngs podcast gaffe as motivation, surely we're tempting the gods of the valleys by riding into Cardiff on our own arrogant high horse.
Aus and Wales always manage to have close affairs, no way is this an easy win. Only a year ago did they hand us our most humiliating RWC game ever.
 

Steve_Grey

Darby Loudon (17)
Not following Wales' travails too closely, but I must say I'm a bit disappointed to see the media pile onto the easy win narrative. "Woeful Wales" was one headline I read/heard over the last few days from an Australian outlet and if we can use a Ben Youngs podcast gaffe as motivation, surely we're tempting the gods of the valleys by riding into Cardiff on our own arrogant high horse.
Wales were just beaten by Fiji in Cardiff - I'd say that is pretty woeful.

WBs are rightly favourites - I expect a 20+ point margin at the final whistle.
 

Tomthumb

Peter Fenwicke (45)
Schmidt's MO seems to be to avoid reshuffling and bring the next pick in that position to cover for an injury. If he wants to give Skelton a run then it will be at the expense of a lock, either way I think we will see Gleeson in the 8 jersey. The caveat here would be if Wilson is out for the tour in which case he may look at a longer term solution with Ireland in mind.
He's moved Len from 13 to 12 and Valetini from 8 to 6
 

Alex Sharpe

Ward Prentice (10)
Wales were just beaten by Fiji in Cardiff - I'd say that is pretty woeful.

WBs are rightly favourites - I expect a 20+ point margin at the final whistle.
I don't know if we have earned that level of confidence quite yet. A very winnable game but Wales in Cardiff will never be a walkover
 

Braveheart81

Will Genia (78)
Staff member
Wales were just beaten by Fiji in Cardiff - I'd say that is pretty woeful.

WBs are rightly favourites - I expect a 20+ point margin at the final whistle.

The only two tests we've won by 20+ points since 2019 were against Georgia and Portugal at the 2023 RWC (both exactly 20 points).

Australia is paying $5 to win by 18+ which suggests the bookies think it is about a 20% likelihood of happening.
 

Derpus

Nathan Sharpe (72)
With no Wilson you'd think Joe would definitely look to Skelton to bring some carrying power. I reckon Williams retains his spot and LSL (Lukhan Salakaia-Loto) slides from the bench in favour of Frost. Uru seems the obvious choice for 6 but it's true he hasn't played much.

Agree that it would be better to get more minutes into Kailea, too.
 

Dctarget

Tim Horan (67)
With no Wilson you'd think Joe would definitely look to Skelton to bring some carrying power. I reckon Williams retains his spot and LSL (Lukhan Salakaia-Loto) (Lukhan Salakaia-Loto) slides from the bench in favour of Frost. Uru seems the obvious choice for 6 but it's true he hasn't played much.

Agree that it would be better to get more minutes into Kailea, too.
Salakaia-Loto promoted to 6?
 

Derpus

Nathan Sharpe (72)
Salakaia-Loto promoted to 6?
He hasn't played there in a long time and hasn't really been great lately, either.

I agree with a suggestion elsewhere that he changed his line which resulted in direct head contact and should have been carded.
 

Wilson

Phil Kearns (64)
Salakaia-Loto promoted to 6?
More chance of Williams, I think. He's more mobile and a bit quicker so does a better job covering Wilson's role and then they can run Skelton and Salakaia-Loto as starting and bench locks (in either order) alongside Frost playing the full 80. That (or Uru starting) seems like the least disruptive change to the patterns they've been playing this year.
 

stillmissit

Peter Johnson (47)
With no Wilson you'd think Joe would definitely look to Skelton to bring some carrying power. I reckon Williams retains his spot and LSL (Lukhan Salakaia-Loto) (Lukhan Salakaia-Loto) slides from the bench in favour of Frost. Uru seems the obvious choice for 6 but it's true he hasn't played much.

Agree that it would be better to get more minutes into Kailea, too.
Why no Nongorr?
 
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