The Springbok game continues to highlight the biggest concern that most AB fans have. It is the same concern that has plagued us since the Lions tests in 2017 which the Irish, English, and Saffas have repeatedly exposed:
- we just lack the ability to win the fiercest physical confrontations. We lack powerful ball carriers to bend the line in the tight, we lack the power and stability and ruck time, and we lack the power and aggression to dominate the defensive line.
- our forwards are praised for their fitness, their ability to run the tram lines, and to perform basic skills exceptionally well. But they just lack the power and mongrel that other teams have - the likes of Kolisi, Itoje, Vermuleun, Underhill, Curry, Watson, Ollivon.
When the heat gets turned up, we already come out second best.
The worry is that this problem is long-lasting, which neither Hansen nor Foster seem too bothered by.
At the WC, physicality and defense always comes first.
Skill is a distant second.
With 3 do-or-die knockouts, a skillful team is far more susceptible to running riot in 2 games and getting smashed in the third. England smashed us at the WC. We were completely bashed out of it. I hope we don't forget or attempt to deny that.
The second bit that was telling was when Barrett kicked a penalty to the corner in the 66th. Aumua who had just came on, looked very nervy throwing in. And the line-out inspired almost no confidence. Both Ofa and Karl are not leadership types. Ethan is still new. Ardie was panting heavily with his head facing his jumper. Akira and Patrick looked like they were waiting for something. Only Brodie was barking instructions. It was a pack that lacked the leaders and cool-heads of old. Some of them have a lot of caps but a lot of those are 20 mins or so off the bench. it was just such a look of inexperience and awkwardness.
Codie Taylor looks very flat this year and while his work-rate is decent, he lacks the oomphf. However, while Samisoni and Asafo are powerful players, they look extremely unassured when the pressure goes up
Nepo Laulala is a big blop. But he doesn't seem to be able to use it well enough in contact. His play around the field has improved, but his impact at rucks has decreased. However, Ofa, Angus, and Tyrel all don't look particularly flash either. They are all huge units but they don't play huge. And Nepo remains the ABs best scrummaging tighthead.
Patrick Tuipulotu has, over the course of his career, perhaps because he was drafted into the ABs too early, been an uninspiring mix of a big man trying to play like a skillful one. Patrick - you are 127kg and your 40m dash is faster than some backs. Your competitive advantage is smashing it up or smashing people back. We don't need you to play like Sam Whitelock.
Jacobson and Ioane are reasonable as expansive forwards. But their workrate in the tight is not good enough.
The midfield balance is off. For so long we were spoilt with Nonu, who could do everything. Perhaps most valuable of which is his ability to bend the gainline even if he had the full set of skills. Havili simply can't do the same. He's not that kind of player. He's far too small to be bashing it up. Quinn is a prospect, but he's not ready yet I don't think. Reiko is positionally far too naïve, but he might be the best shot.
I would love to see Caleb Clarke back into the fold. He isn't the perfect wing, but he offers something the ABs need - a target who can smash it up. Regardless of 6,7, or 8, Ardie is now a non-negotiable in the starting 15. Where does Sam Cane fit in? Well I hope he proves himself before sufficiently before getting back on field, because he's been out a long time. As much as I 'm not a fan of Jordie, he has been playing very well of late, and might now have cemented a spot in the team, especially with the goalkicking.