The Outside Perspective: Super Rugby 2013 Attendance as a Percentage of Stadium Capacity

[USARugger]

Just throwing this out there to supplement Scott's article from a few days ago. These are the attendance figures so far as a percentage of the maximum stadium capacity, based upon average attendance in 2013.

http://infogr.am/Attendance-as-a-Percentage-of-Stadium-Capacity-Rds-1-8-Super-Rugby-2013/

While this doesn't paint the whole picture (as I doubt I'd be able to get accurate figures on merchandise revenue, cost to run each stadium for a match, cash infusions by SANZAR and other bodies without working for one of the franchises) it does give us a bit of an idea as to who is sweating to keep the lights on.

Sources:

http://www.superxv.com/ (stadium capacity)
http://www.austadiums.com/ (stadium capacity)
http://www.statbunker.com/rugby/btb/index.php?PL=competition&CompID=423&statType=home_Att (attendance averages)

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**Having some issues with embedding the infogr.am chart, if anyone more computer literate than I know how to do this please shoot me a message so I can make my post all pretty**​

 

[Oliphant]

Just throwing this out there to supplement Scott's article from a few days ago. These are the attendance figures so far as a percentage of the maximum stadium capacity, based upon average attendance in 2013.

http://infogr.am/Attendance-as-a-Percentage-of-Stadium-Capacity-Rds-1-8-Super-Rugby-2013/

While this doesn't paint the whole picture (as I doubt I'd be able to get accurate figures on merchandise revenue, cost to run each stadium for a match, cash infusions by SANZAR and other bodies without working for one of the franchises) it does give us a bit of an idea as to who is sweating to keep the lights on.

Sources:

http://www.superxv.com/ (stadium capacity)
http://www.austadiums.com/ (stadium capacity)
http://www.statbunker.com/rugby/btb/index.php?PL=competition&CompID=423&statType=home_Att (attendance averages)

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**Having some issues with embedding the infogr.am chart, if anyone more computer literate than I know how to do this please shoot me a message so I can make my post all pretty**​

IT WOULD BE GREAT TO COMPARE THESE STATS AGAINST ALL THE PREVIOUS YEARS OF THE COMPETITION AND AT EACH ROUND. IT WILL HELP TO ASSES WHERE THE GAME IS GOING IN TERMS OF APPEAL.

 

[ChargerWA]

I'd love to see the teams win percentage at home as a factor in the graphic.

Force 2nd out of the Aussie teams. Considering our shabby 20% win ratio at home you have to admit we have the best fans.

 

[Rassie]

As usual the Stormers kicks ass in attendances

As for win or lose we ain't called the Newlands faithful for nothing.

In 2002, Newlands welcomed its millionth spectator, to watch a Stormers match, through the gates, with more than 2 million fans having come out to support the popular Super Rugby franchise over the past 12 years. In both 2008 and 2009, Newlands recorded a total annual attendance of more than 500 000 spectators, with an average of 17 rugby fixtures a year. 2010 saw 666177 of the Faithful through the gates, with the Stormers attracting an average crowd in excess of 43000 per game. (capacity 48000)

http://www.wprugby.com/content.asp?id=6856

Other thing is do all the franchises own their stadiums or do they rent from the City? Newlands are owned by WP rugby union thus the Stormers do not have to rent it. Most Stadium bills are taken care of by the sponsors

 

[USARugger]

Gonna be back to address some of the questions being asked here over the course of this coming week. Watch this space!

 

[Rassie]

I know the SA revenue for Merchandising about 10 years ago was over 400 million rand

 

[Gnostic]

Just throwing this out there to supplement Scott's article from a few days ago. These are the attendance figures so far as a percentage of the maximum stadium capacity, based upon average attendance in 2013.

http://infogr.am/Attendance-as-a-Percentage-of-Stadium-Capacity-Rds-1-8-Super-Rugby-2013/

While this doesn't paint the whole picture (as I doubt I'd be able to get accurate figures on merchandise revenue, cost to run each stadium for a match, cash infusions by SANZAR and other bodies without working for one of the franchises) it does give us a bit of an idea as to who is sweating to keep the lights on.

Sources:

http://www.superxv.com/ (stadium capacity)
http://www.austadiums.com/ (stadium capacity)
http://www.statbunker.com/rugby/btb/index.php?PL=competition&CompID=423&statType=home_Att (attendance averages)

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**Having some issues with embedding the infogr.am chart, if anyone more computer literate than I know how to do this please shoot me a message so I can make my post all pretty**​

Great USAR. Thanks. Very interesting to see the crowd figures put in context of capacity.

 

[suckerforred]

Other thing is do all the franchises own their stadiums or do they rent from the City? Newlands are owned by WP rugby union thus the Stormers do not have to rent it. Most Stadium bills are taken care of by the sponsors

In Australia the stadium are generally owner by a seperate entity. E.g. the respective governments, or a private firm....

 

[USARugger]

I'd love to see the teams win percentage at home as a factor in the graphic.

Force 2nd out of the Aussie teams. Considering our shabby 20% win ratio at home you have to admit we have the best fans.

http://infogr.am/2012-Super-Rugby--...of-Stadium-Capacity-Raw-Attendance-Thousands/

Based on these numbers the Correlation Coefficient value between Home Win % and % Attendance by Capacity for 2012 is .207, or very weak. The Correlation Coefficient value between Home Win % and Raw Attendance was .436 for 2012.

http://infogr.am/Super-Rugby-2013-r...of-Capacity-Raw-Average-Attendance-Thousands/

For 2013 the Correlation Coefficient value between Home Win % and % Attendance by Capacity was -0.066. This figure is skewed by the Highlander's 0 wins at home paired with a smaller sample than 2012 (only have data for 10 rounds so far) and is much so negligibly small that the correlation can be considered null. The 2013 Correlation Coefficient value between Home Win % and Raw Attendance was .755, or quite strong.

So what does this tell us? Well, the numbers speak for themselves here. Although the samples here are relatively small, even over across one-and-a-half seasons of Super Rugby, they do hint at some truths for us. The raw number of fans in attendance seems to matter much more than the proportion of seats filled in the stadium and has a strong correlation with teams who regularly win their home matches. Now the only real question here is what came first, the chicken or the egg? Do winning teams attract large crowds or do large crowds give teams that extra edge they need to win at home?

I believe, as usual, the answer is somewhere in the middle. Large crowds absolutely create a very strong positive feedback loop for players, but the other component of that feedback loop is that a team must win their home games. Combine both of these factors and you end up with teams like the Stormers and Reds who are both notoriously hard to beat in their respective 'Fortress'.

Sources: Same as referenced in my original post with the exception of borrowing some data from Suckforred from this article (stats for 2012 attendance for Hurricanes/Highlanders was absent from my data set).

Correlation Coefficient values were calculated using the following formula:

Correlation(r) = NΣXY - (ΣX)(ΣY) / Sqrt([NΣX2 - (ΣX)2][NΣY2 - (ΣY)2])

 

[suckerforred]

I do believe we have found another stats wiz in our midst. Well done USAR. Very interesting.

 

[Rassie]

http://infogr.am/2012-Super-Rugby--...of-Stadium-Capacity-Raw-Attendance-Thousands/

Based on these numbers the Correlation Coefficient value between Home Win % and % Attendance by Capacity for 2012 is .207, or very weak. The Correlation Coefficient value between Home Win % and Raw Attendance was .436 for 2012.

http://infogr.am/Super-Rugby-2013-r...of-Capacity-Raw-Average-Attendance-Thousands/

For 2013 the Correlation Coefficient value between Home Win % and % Attendance by Capacity was -0.066. This figure is skewed by the Highlander's 0 wins at home paired with a smaller sample than 2012 (only have data for 10 rounds so far) and is much so negligibly small that the correlation can be considered null. The 2013 Correlation Coefficient value between Home Win % and Raw Attendance was .755, or quite strong.

So what does this tell us? Well, the numbers speak for themselves here. Although the samples here are relatively small, even over across one-and-a-half seasons of Super Rugby, they do hint at some truths for us. The raw number of fans in attendance seems to matter much more than the proportion of seats filled in the stadium and has a strong correlation with teams who regularly win their home matches. Now the only real question here is what came first, the chicken or the egg? Do winning teams attract large crowds or do large crowds give teams that extra edge they need to win at home?

I believe, as usual, the answer is somewhere in the middle. Large crowds absolutely create a very strong positive feedback loop for players, but the other component of that feedback loop is that a team must win their home games. Combine both of these factors and you end up with teams like the Stormers and Reds who are both notoriously hard to beat in their respective 'Fortress'.

Sources: Same as referenced in my original post with the exception of borrowing some data from Suckforred from this article (stats for 2012 attendance for Hurricanes/Highlanders was absent from my data set).

Correlation Coefficient values were calculated using the following formula:

Correlation(r) = NΣXY - (ΣX)(ΣY) / Sqrt([NΣX2 - (ΣX)2][NΣY2 - (ΣY)2])

Does your E=MC include atmosphere and twin cities for example like Perthfontein and Bloemfontein, Brisbane and Durban, Pretoria and any bush in Australia etc etc?