A packed stadium and the Reds bench will get the job done for them. Wright, Mafi and Daugunnu are the type of players that will come on and make their presence felt from the moment they get on the field.
A lot will come down to how Taniela is reffed at scrum time as well. The Brumbies will be in Berry’s ear the moment the captains toss the coin on Saturday night. There has been a lot of over analysis of his technique this season, the fact is he’s the most dominant prop in the comp and teams work specific plans to counter this at scrum time. I might regret this come full time but glad Berry has the whistle and not Murphy in terms of the set piece, that’s a win for both teams in my opinion.
This is a good call - Brumbies forward pack are going in light, in the backrow and front row. Backrow is not so much of an issue, as their system will have the backrow depth mostly up to scratch.
Front row is where it will hurt them - and Tupou did serious damage in the Canberra game (TBH, he won that game) when the situation was the same RE the front row. He did it with a lot of....interesting angles at scrum time though, so you're right in that regard - if Berry et al keep a close eye on the angles Tupou is driving on it could make a big difference.
He's such a beast though that i dont think keeping him straight will be enough, if there are sufficient scrums available for him. Brumbies are the most penalised team in the comp though, so i reckon he'll get plenty of chances.
Frost on the blindside for the Brumbies is interesting....considering the Reds back 3 options, they seem keen on playing a kicking game and using Tupou to capitalise on that at either lineout or scrum. Going with Frost you get 3 excellent lineout options, but he's also a really fast and rangy option, kinda like Uru. That looks a lot like McKeller guessing that gameplan, and making sure the Brumbies put a shit load of heat on every Reds lineout, but still having a fast/rangy 6 option. Best he can pick this week tbh, with all the injuries.
Backline i'd give a slight edge to the Brumbies as they're a more settled/consistent lineup, and have Wright and Muirhead in there.
Muirhead to score the matchwinning try from 15m out, 5 mins from fulltime.
Cant wait for this, even if the Brumbies lose!