The Run Home...
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We have a General Bye here in SIRU this weekend, which gives our families time to relax for a day without footy before the final 6 weeks get underway! These are my thoughts on who’s who and who will finish where.
Essentially, there is much more competition for spots in the Premier Division, and I think Albury will finish the season in second place purely because of the teams that Waratahs face (I think the Tahs will only win one more game before the finals).
The top four are set for the finals series, we are now playing out the final three rounds to see who gets a second crack come finals time.
In First Division, I reckon the finals teams are set as is. I think Leeton will get off the bottom of the table despite their flogging by City last weekend.
Premier Division
Aggies (1) on 58pts play Tahs (A), RARC (A), CSU (H) Tip 1st
Hard to go past Aggies here, they have done all their travel for the year (all their remaining games are in Wagga) and have the cattle to beat all three of these teams easily. After getting out of jail for the last two weeks, expect the Aggies to fire up and show their full potential. 2010 Grand Final rematch next week will be a great indication of who is who.
Tahs (2) on 56pts play Aggies (H), CSU (A), Albury (H) Tip 4th
Honestly, the Tahs have never put a full strength team on the paddock and have not been the stellar performers they have been in the past three or four years. Some key retirements have hurt them this year (as have injuries) and I would expect the Tahs to take out one win in the final stages of the season.
CSU (3) on 52pts play Griffith (A), Tahs (H), Aggies (A) Tip 3rd
While CSU have been impressive this season, the competition is really heating up leading into the finals. I think they will beat Griffith, but not Aggies or Tahs, although they are a real bogey team for the Tahs.
Albury (4) on 49pts play RARC (A), Griffith (H), Tahs (A) Tip 2nd
They have been building quietly on the border but their secret is out now. Albury confirmed themselves as genuine title contenders when they came oh so close to knocking off Aggies two weeks ago. The run home has some decent away trips, but this may be just the bonding experience the boys need to galvanise them for the finals series. I expect Albury to get up in all three of these matches.
Griffith (5) on 40pts play CSU (H), Albury (A), RARC (H) Tip 5th
The Blacks haven’t really strung too much form together this year. While there have been patches of good form, they haven’t maintained that for extended periods of the season. They showed last week against Aggies that they can match it with the top teams, but doing this week in week out has been their hassle.
RARC (6) on 30pts play Albury (H), Aggies (H), Griffith (A) Tip 6th
The RARC boys will not give up over the coming weeks and will try and scalp Albury and Aggies “on base”. Will they? I doubt it, but they will not go down wondering.
First Division
Temora (1) on 35pts play Coota (A), City (A), Young (H) Tip 1st
I think Temora will just scrape into 1st place here in the First Division comp. They are twelve points clear of second place and I think they’ve got two wins here to round out the season. Finals time will be really interesting for the Tuskers.
Coota (2) on 23pts play Temora (H), Leeton (A), City (H) Tip 2nd
Not a bad draw to run home on for the Tri-Colours, and I think they will run home close winners in all three encounters. Coota would have had a more successful season if not for the retirement of Bill Scott and James Burge.
Tumut (3) on 20pts play City (H), Young (A), Leeton (H) Tip 3rd
The Bulls just haven’t pulled together this year, but will make the finals and anything can happen from there. They can account for all three of these teams, but it will be interesting to see if they do.
Young (3) on 20pts play Leeton (H), Tumut (H), Temora (A) Tip 4th
The Yabbies have welcomed a number of young players to First Grade this year and it will be good for those players to get a taste of finals footy this year. Their draw is favourable in terms of travel, so they should get out of this with two wins.
City (5) on 11pts play Tumut (A), Temora (H), Coota (A) Tip 6th
Honestly, City are a frustrating club to watch. They should have a great thing going on, but it just never seems to happen for them, they always seem to fall away when it counts. I don’t know if it’s mental toughness or attitude, but they can do so much better. They have the ability to beat these three teams, but I don’t think they will.
Leeton (6) on 10pts play Young (A), Coota (H), Tumut (A) Tip 5th
With only one point separating the Phantoms from the Boiled Lollies, I think the boys from the MIA will get there…just. Leeton have strung some wins together recently, and if it wasn’t for a head clash that took out Breakaway Bill Bevan and their loosehead prop early in the game against City, they may have already gotten over them. I think Leeton will jag a win and a bonus point before the season is over.