On the basis of our performances this year and the upheaval in the playing list and coaching ranks, we've got a massive uphill battle to even make it out of our group at the RWC. I'm certainly not looking any further than that at the moment and nor should the coaching staff.
We've got huge problems in the pack and you can't win the RWC without at the very least solidity in the set pieces and breakdown. A few of the younger blokes will need to improve considerably if we're to be any chance. The only thing that gives me any hope whatsoever is that Cheika is a fine coach and clearly has a plan. Whether he has enough time between now and the RWC to execute that plan effectively is another thing and I'm highly doubtful at this stage.
For mine, we need the following areas to be addressed if we are to advance:
1, Front row depth. Our starting props are proven and automatic choices, but we need some blokes to be their backup. None of our reserve props at the moment are of the required standard IMHO.
2, Second row partner for Rob Simmons. It's clear that Simmons is going to run the lineout, but we're still missing a "rock shifter" style lock to really up the level of physicality in the loose. I don't see anyone at the moment who is a slam dunk for that role.
3, A dominant eight. The Big Dog has done a fine job this season, but we're either going to need him to step up to the level of a Read/Vermeulen or find someone else who can. A big ball running eight is an absolute necessity in the modern game and whilst Cliffy is a good candidate, I think he's too broken now to be consistently effective at test level.
4, Sort out who is our best 10. It comes down to QC (Quade Cooper) and Foley. I think Cheika will lean towards Foley to be our five-eighth but I still think Cooper has much to offer in the Wallaby jumper. Hopefully both of them have excellent and injury free seasons in Super Rugby next year and give the selectors a real headache.
5, Pace at the back. Speight I think will develop into an excellent test level player, but that still leaves the other wing to sort out. As much as I dislike the way that JOC (James O'Connor) has carried on in the past, hopefully he can play the house down and command a position in the squad.
6, Depth on the bench. This is a general issue and one that has cost us games this year. The starters have done the job for many of the games (e.g. Cape Town) but the guys who have come on and replaced them haven't played up to the same standard. To a large degree injuries have influenced this, but the bench players will need to step up over the next year, given that it's really a 23 man game now.
7, Fitness to play the full 80 of Cheika's game plan. Cheika clearly wants to play a style that has bodies hitting the gain line at pace and quick recycling of the ball. I think it's a good strategy and one that can be successful at all levels of the game if executed well and the playing group understand how much more fit they'll have to be to do it. We see it in bursts currently, but to close out the tight ones the forwards in particular are going to have to be more aerobically fit than they currently are.
What I think is really going to be required, given the time available, is for Cheika and the other Super rugby coaches around Australia, to have a summit and the Wallaby coach outlining the preferred style of play and the requirements for individuals positions in that style. Ideally, you'd want each of the Aussie franchises playing something resembling those patterns in each case and training accordingly. Ordinarily I don't think this would be necessary (nor would I advocate it), but with the clusterfuck that 2014 has been with the squad, coaches and selections, it may be needed. I fully expect that others will vehemently disagree with this and accordingly I'd be interested in other viewpoints.