Hmmm, I can seriously see a comfortable Force victory here.
Let's list some reasons:
- Reds have not won a back to back game since 2005(?)
- Force coming off a bye with several injured players returning
- Force have been reemed with injuries and still put in respectable performances
- Reds will be considered favourites by all pundits - and the Reds have typically lost or played poorly in the rare game that they are considered favourite for
- the Force pack has played a hard game around the rucks, hitting rucks and counter rucking aggressively. This is the type of forward game that has upset the Reds in past seasons, and could see the Force with forward dominance
- the Reds have really struggled in most of their games vs the Force since the Force joined the comp
The Force will be desperate for a victory, and the Reds coming off a high from an unexpected win. Link will need to bring the Reds back down to ground and prepare them well for the game. The Force will be underdogs, but I won't be surprised if the Force win.
It will be interesting to see how the Force shuffle their backs with the arrival of Hill. Hill will likely be 10 with J'OC reverting to 15, but I thought Hill looked more effective at 12 whenever he got to play there. I still recall Jackson and Hill fighting for the Chiefs 10 spot and neither putting a real claim on it, but then later Hill being shunted to 12 and looking great.
For the Reds, it's a cliche but Link will need to get the forwards fired up and get them performing so a solid enough platform is laid for the backs. If Ioane and Hynes return and Morahan stays on the wing then the Reds should have the edge in the backs.