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Melbourne Rebels 2011

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Lee Grant

John Eales (66)
The right for Melbourne to use several foreign players is a good idea and is one that yours truly and others mooted 5 years ago for the new 4th team, before we knew it would be in Perth, and more recently for the 5th team even before we knew it was going to be in Australia for sure.


It didn't happen for the 4th team - and the Reds paid the price, something nobody predicted at the time, because, if we thought about it at all, we supposed that the 3 existing teams would lose them pro-rata, more or less.


But the dispensation for the 5th team makes sense.


As I have mentioned before: we went beyond the tipping point of diminishing returns when we got the Force team. We couldn't keep up the standard of the existing teams, never that high, with the additional team drawing good players from a limited supply.


We weren't that concerned because we always knew that the digestion of a new Super team was going to be difficult. Not to worry - the new semi-pro national competition would build up a pool of semi-pro players and the 4 Super clubs could do some shopping to build up the quality.


Instead, the ARC lasted only one year and as soon as that setback happened we noticed that the the rate of defections offshore was increasing. Instead of a supply of the best ARC players re-building the quality over 3-4 years, a paltry amount of new good players was being used annually to plug the holes caused by players departing. Some potential new players went offshore themselves without a Super14 CV.

We noticed the 4 Super teams fighting to recruit players whilst they were still in school, as a band-aid, and often using them to start in Super14 games against seasoned men a couple of months after leaving. Whilst this was not unprecedented, the use of schoolboys from the previous year became too frequent.


So: the dispensation that the Melbourne team can use up to 10 overseas players is a good idea - with one provisio - that the Mitchell consortium can afford it. Then with a return of about 5 good Aussie players and the same amount of average ones (not necessarily all going to the new team but some going to existing teams to replace players lost to Melbourne) the new team will be a lot better prepared for the transition. There should be some more Aussie players returning for the 2012 season as they become available.


As well as players returning we should see by 2013 the effect of a couple of years of accumulated decisions of players not to go overseas in the first place. The replacements for the staggered departures of the 10 foreign players should become feasible, on paper. Should.


The expected return, and holding, of Oz players may appear to be over hopeful, but it should be helped by some tightening by European rugby unions.


French rugby has already put in place a scheme to, in effect, reduce the amount of foreigners on the payrolls of French clubs and they have also mentioned a salary cap which would slant recruitment to their own young players anyway. They won't be recruiting so many Oz players and many other "Brit" players with be leaving France also as their contracts expire, to play for a club in their own union. This means that there won't be so much room in the GP and ML clubs for Oz players, or other foreigners, either.


So - the rate of losing players offshore should shrink. Should, again.


Long term though we have to get the ARC back on track. As a short term fix we have to revamp the Sydney and Brisbane competitions so that the best teams are playing other best teams twice as often and the weaker teams are striving for promotion.


[PS - cue people hear to comment that we shouldn't have wanted a 5th team. The point is valid as it was when the 4th team was being discussed on the other forum from 2002 to 2004. But that is water under the bridge; we will have a 5th team. The choice between wanting to keep the Oz standard as high as possible by not having a 5th team - and the alternative of wanting the 5th team and the 20 domestic games it would generate as a surrogate domestic comp - is best discussed on a separate thread.]

*****

As for Gasnier playing 12 against Montpelier recently - it was good to see him there. He did OK and drew his man well after creating breaks, but some of the Top14 teams were playing 3 games in 8 days and many players were rested. It was by no means the best SF team and it served them right because they lost; so I wonder how many chances Gaz will get in the midfield.
 
T

TOCC

Guest
good post Lee Grant, i pretty much agree with everything you said

I know some people were asking, why should Melbourne be the only team to receive the foreign dispensation, all the teams should receive a equal boost. Now there are two trains of thought in this argument, the first one been that the exsisting provinces all have academy and recruitment programs established and rolling, Melbourne does not have this.

Secondly, in 2009 there were 8 foreign quota positions in Australia, 4 for a non elegible foreign player and another 4 for a 'development' players. Out of the 8 places only 2 of them were filled, in 2010 there will be a 4 places filled but still that only represent 50% of the foreign places filled. It wasnt the influx of foreign players that we could have initially anticipated.


On top of that, the new rule been introduced by the ARU to have a Super14 contracting window is a fantastic development as well. Its ludicrous having scenarios like last year where Matt Giteau played against the Brumbies having already agreed to terms with them for the following season.

However, this isnt the only bonus that this window creates, in regards to the new team especially they wont be able to wait until June/July before they start contracting players, this will force them to look to Australians overseas and the foreign player pool earlier. It could realistically mean that come the 'S14 transfer window' that the Melbourne side have already filled 15-20 of there playing roster. Which will hopefully mean less disruption to the other 4 Australian sides.
 

Ash

Michael Lynagh (62)
TOCC said:
Secondly, in 2009 there were 8 foreign quota positions in Australia, 4 for a non elegible foreign player and another 4 for a 'development' players. Out of the 8 places only 2 of them were filled, in 2010 there will be a 4 places filled but still that only represent 50% of the foreign places filled. It wasnt the influx of foreign players that we could have initially anticipated.

4 have been? Trying to remember who they are:
- Braid at the Reds (marquee)
- Petoors at the Force (marquee)
- Anesi at the Waratahs (marquee)
- Dud at the Waratahs (developmental) (?)

The Force are also looking at a Kiwi hooker from Harbour, which could be a 5th. If they rate him during his trial period, then he probably will be a 5th.

The Brumbies also have young flyhalf Dollie (or did) from SA available for their Academy. Does he have any Australian relatives? If so, he'd be another developmental player.

It was always going to take a while for the 2 foreign player spots to be filled up, and I still don't think we'll ever see too many developmental type ones, and even marquee ones won't always be thick on the ground (more like temporary signings to cover weaknesses rather than real "marquee" players, like Castle, Anesi, Petoors, Braid, etc). And don't forget the ARU has veto on the players (already having supposedly vetoed one or two players wanted by the Tahs). I don't think we ever really expected an influx of players.

Now, if it was, say, changed to 2 marquee players per team and the NZRU would allow players to play for the Australian S14 teams and still get picked for NZ, ditto SARU, then you might see those spots filled a lot more often.
 

Lee Grant

John Eales (66)
TOCC

Agree that the dispensation to have the extra players should be limited to a new team, and reiterate that the Force should have got something similar. This could have reduced some of the pain that the Reds experienced.

Also agree that the window on announcing the transfer of players is a good idea.




tranquility

Will send you a PM.
 

cheezel

Bill Watson (15)
T

TOCC

Guest
Ash said:
TOCC said:
Secondly, in 2009 there were 8 foreign quota positions in Australia, 4 for a non elegible foreign player and another 4 for a 'development' players. Out of the 8 places only 2 of them were filled, in 2010 there will be a 4 places filled but still that only represent 50% of the foreign places filled. It wasnt the influx of foreign players that we could have initially anticipated.

4 have been? Trying to remember who they are:
- Braid at the Reds (marquee)
- Petoors at the Force (marquee)
- Anesi at the Waratahs (marquee)
- Dud at the Waratahs (developmental) (?)

The Force are also looking at a Kiwi hooker from Harbour, which could be a 5th. If they rate him during his trial period, then he probably will be a 5th.

The Brumbies also have young flyhalf Dollie (or did) from SA available for their Academy. Does he have any Australian relatives? If so, he'd be another developmental player.

It was always going to take a while for the 2 foreign player spots to be filled up, and I still don't think we'll ever see too many developmental type ones, and even marquee ones won't always be thick on the ground (more like temporary signings to cover weaknesses rather than real "marquee" players, like Castle, Anesi, Petoors, Braid, etc). And don't forget the ARU has veto on the players (already having supposedly vetoed one or two players wanted by the Tahs). I don't think we ever really expected an influx of players.

Now, if it was, say, changed to 2 marquee players per team and the NZRU would allow players to play for the Australian S14 teams and still get picked for NZ, ditto SARU, then you might see those spots filled a lot more often.

i dont think Dollie counts as one of the foreign development players, i think somehow he had links to Australia, and yes i realise the ARU have the right to veto players, but from the sounds of it they have only exercised it when the unions have tried signing players when they are to old

I agree that if the NZRU and SARU allowed there all blacks and boks to play in Australia then we would see the positions filled pretty quickly, but there was even a uproar when Daniel Braid signed with the Reds, and he only had like 3 test caps. I think it will be a long time before the NZRU allow such a even to take place, it would require something special like Dan Carter signing with Melbourne for them to even consider it.
 
T

TOCC

Guest
cheezel said:
I saw this article on the herald sun website before new years, that showed a few of the players they have signed?? I've never heard of them and find it difficult to believe given that they have no coach. They look fairly young, so could be melbourne schoolboys.

New Melbourne Super 15 players Jack De Guingand, Nathan Paila, Rodney Eskia and Angus Hamilton
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/melb-rugby-franchise-in-peril/story-e6frf9if-1225814470256

i dont see how these players could have been signed considering the date of the article was prior to the consortium even been awared the franchise... Its probably just a few of the schoolboys
 

Lee Grant

John Eales (66)
They are the cream of the 2009 Victorian school players. I saw them all this year. They would all be at some level in the Melbourne Academy for 2010 and probably not in the pro category.

Hamilton
is a good 2nd rower who made the Oz Schools bench but you wouldn't compare him to Peterson or Jones of NSW Schools. Jones has a rookie contract with the Force, and Peterson is in the Tahs professional Academy which means that he will probably get about half of the basic S14 wage. Those two are are future S14 stars and maybe better if they can translate their school game to the senior level. They sure are big enough for their age.


The other Victorians made the Oz Schools A 23.

de Guingand is a tough workaholic 7 who can be electric but as good as he is he found himself behind Queensland's Liam Gill, a 7 of the same type.

Paila is a tough no.8 (almost a tautology in Schools rugby these days) who is a goer and loves taking the ball into contact.

Eskia is a very good midfielder.

I couldn't warrant that any of these boys will be running on in a Super14 game in the future as I could with a few of this year's schoolboys though JdG should go closest. There weren't too many Lealiifanos representing Victoria in the Combined States side this year.

As usual, I will be delighted to be proved wrong. I frequently am. "James O'Connor will need a couple of year's physical preparation before they think of putting him on the park in the Super14", is one of my brilliant predictions.
 

Biffo

Ken Catchpole (46)
Biffo said:
If I were Rod Macqueen and in charge of strategy and coaching for Melbourne and screening the o'seas Australians, I would be looking at (alphabetically by surname):

1. Gene Fairbanks
2. Mark Gasnier
3. Gareth Hardy
4. Lachlan Mitchell
5. Luke Rooney
6. Alex Walker
7. Paul Warwick

I doubt that Melbourne could find enough money to afford any more than two of these, in terms of what they are now being paid.

Scratched. Has declared himself a POM.
 
M

Merlin

Guest
I am not sure what dispensations the new franchise will get, but I think they should also look at some of the current and ex Storm players (Crocker, Koopu, Manu & Blair). These guys have established contacts and fans in Melbourne and would add a lot to the new franchise on and off the field.
 
G

Gil

Guest
lee, have you heard about K Hunt , one of your ex leaguie who is playing for my team, Biarritz..he looks promising
 

Lee Grant

John Eales (66)
Yeah Nod is right: he won't be playing in the Super14. I've seen him play for Biarritz and he looked a bit lost since he hasn't played any rugby union since high school. Looked decent a few times though.

For those who don't know: Biarritz are playing SF in Paris tomorrow morning (Sunday 2.45am Oz AEST) and Eurosport viewers will be able to watch Hunt and Gasnier if they are playing. Other exciting players such as Ngwenya (the guy who ran around Habana for the USA in the RWC), Erinle, Beauxis and form scrummie Yachvili may be playing too.

Gasnier is the leading try scorer in the T14 to date this year, or at least he was up to recently, and I will be interested to see if he gets another go in the midfield. I hope that his team, SF, haven't run out of scrumhalves.
 

Lee Grant

John Eales (66)
I heard on the radio this morning that the Melbourne mob are having a talk with Sam Ayoub, Jonathan Thurston's, manager. It's probably just a 5 per center and part of the due diligence ritual that agents of league players go through to bump up the price of their charges.

You never know though: Thurston was on record a month ago saying that he is considering the switch. It would be a commercial decision for him and there is nothing wrong with that.

Gower's success in Europe as a flyhalf may have sparked a bit of interest in league five eighths. If Gower could convert his league skills to play a key position in international rugby then others may think that they could do the same. Later those 5% possibilities of switching may become 20%.

Thurston is a skilled footie player. He is horribly injury prone and his operation CV includes 2 shoulder reconstructions. You wouldn't like to see him defend in the 10 channel all the time, but like Mehrtens at Canterbury before and the likes of Humphreys at Ulster now, it is no great problem to play such flyhalves at fullback when the other side has the ball.

Must admit I'm intrigued - certainly not excited, but intrigued. If the Melbourne mob have the dosh to hire him and get backup in case he gets injured, I'd go for it.

We would all like a young gun like Lealiifano or To'omua to get the Melbourne gig but the Force probably have future plans for one of them.

****

PS on the SF v Biarritz game: Hunt didn't play - he's not in the Biarritz normal matchday 22 but gets a game when players are rested.

Gasnier was back on the wing. Commentators are warming to him now; indeed he's looking like a union player the more I see of him. He doesn't lose the ball so much in contact now and is not so panicky near touch. He is learning too that instead of attempting to make breaks a lot of the time, which gets a premium in league for various reasons, the percentages are better in union if the ball is used more just before the tackle.

He's also getting confident enough to look for work.

But the Dragons are making noises that they're after him to return to league; so watch this space.
 

mark_s

Chilla Wilson (44)
And the Rebels have poached Brian Waldrom from the Storm. Maybe he feels like he has achieved it all with the storm?
 

barbarian

Phil Kearns (64)
Staff member
I wouldn't be surprised if they sign Thurston, although I wouldn't really be happy. It makes a little bit of sense to try and tap into the league market there, even though it is relatively small. Whilst I would prefer it if they poached a Leaguie currently playing Union (eg Gasnier, Williams etc), I suppose if they are unavailable then a big name from the NRL wouldn't be too bad from a PR perspective.

If I was in charge, I wouldn't do it (too much $$$, plus I think he's an idiot and will take too long to find his feet in Union), but I wouldn't be shocked to see them make a play with a third party deal.
 

mark_s

Chilla Wilson (44)
If they are going to spend $1m a year on a league player then why wouldn't they chase Cameron Smith or Greg Inglis?
 
C

chief

Guest
mark_s said:
If they are going to spend $1m a year on a league player then why wouldn't they chase Cameron Smith or Greg Inglis?

Cam Smith is certainly not worth 1 million a year. Not even half of that. Surely a player like Greg Inglis could be on the radar. I like the sound of poaching leagueies but I'm more hoping they poach them young from like Toyota Cup competitions, offer them more than NRL would, and develop them into a Rugby player. I'm hoping Melbourne does that, as do the QLD Reds.
 
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