The talk about a new coach not having enough time to get into the program before the Lions tour, therefore Robbie must stay is bullshit.
The ARU essentially wrote off the Lions tour when they extended Deans contract with zero justification.
Time to let someone else in and see if they can make the changes required. Both Link and White turned a team around in only 12 months, proving it is possible.
And if Link doesn't want the job, offer it to White.
Agree on this point. Whatever way you look at it a new coach is going to be of benefit to the Wallabies. When it's gotten to the point of pretty much everyone wondering when and not if he'll go not much can be gained from him staying on. It's certainly not impossible that he'll deliver a Lions series win, as the advantage is with the home side more and more on Lions tours, but at what cost to the long term development of the game in Aus. If someone is doing such a poor job that it's causing long term damage then the question should not be will a new guy have enough time it should be can we afford to let the incumbent have anymore time to increase the damage. The sooner a new guy is in place the sooner Aus rugby can draw a line under the Deans era and looks to the future rather than lurching from one disaster to another with a sprinkling of false dawns in between.
In terms of the Lions tour being too close I would say that is an advantage for a number of reasons:
- New coaches can create a short term feel good factor around the squad and the nation during the honeymoon period and this would like the players and supporters for the duration of the Lions tour.
- A new coach will introduce new faces and freshen up the squad. The newer players will come in with enthusiasm which the established players can feed off.
- There wont be long enough for the new coach to establish who his favourites are meaning selection is more likely to be on merit. This should mean that not only will there be more form players on the park but also players will be optimistic of being picked if they are playing well. In short there will be real competition for places for the Lions tour.
- The new coach won't have long enough to implement a full playbook so things will have to be simplified in the short term. This will make bringing new players in and establishing new combinations easier. Also with simplified moves in the backs we're less likely to see the handling errors that have been a feature of Australia's attack over the last year or so. Also moves don't have to be complicated to be effective.
- Due to the limited time available the new coach will have to work on the areas where the most improvement can be achieved. So rather than trying to change the entire approach they could identify 2-3 keys areas for improvement, e.g. the scrum, attacking alignment. With time short a top scrum specialist could be brought in and maybe a tops back coach could consult at least for the tour.
-Only being able to change some aspects will mean it's more likely that any good aspects from the Deans era would be retained at least in the short term. One aspect that's been impressive over the last year, especially compared to other aspects of Australia's performances, has been the performance of the pack away from the set piece.
When looking at whether to keep Deans on for the Lions tour the ARU should be looking to see if keeping Deans on would out weigh the benefits of bring the new guy in now and not the other way around. Arguments for continuity are mute when it would mean the type of performances Aus have put in so often recently.
As I've said previously I think Deans is a good coach, but when you've tried everything and things are still getting worse it's time to step aside and let someone else give it a try.