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Arch Winning (36)
It's incredibly valuable information that they're gathering, no doubt. But as a word of caution, they're collecting baseline data. The information collected in the Randwick study will have no impact on the incidence of concussion and head injury and, from the perspective of scientific methodology, if simply being aware of forces using the accelerometers is enough to make a difference in the incidence of concussion, then the study will be scientifically worthless.
The scientific community needs baseline data on what the forces are first- that's this study. And they need it from a shitload of players at a shitload of levels. This will take a long time. The next step is correlating forces with concussive events. Then it needs to be repeated (validated) for a shitload of players at a shitload of levels. Every single one of those players will need to have a comprehensive assessment to determine concussion. If a foolproof or highly sensitive & scientifically valid method existed to do this yet, I think contact sports of all codes would be using the same test. They aren't. Then, assuming we come up with an awesome test suitable for hundreds of players, link it to the accelerometer data, we can establish a correlation between forces and concussion. We may not find any relationship whatsoever though and even though it's be frustrating, it'd still be more than we know now.
Then (and only then) will we know enough to start guessing (it'll still only be a guess for a really long time) what can be done to reduce them.
I don't want to be a naysayer, but as someone who has studied for a Masters degree in the relationship between workloads and injury in rugby union, I know the quality of available research in rugby, and I know scientific methodology.
This is a HUGE first step, but we might need to temper our expectations at some point.
The scientific community needs baseline data on what the forces are first- that's this study. And they need it from a shitload of players at a shitload of levels. This will take a long time. The next step is correlating forces with concussive events. Then it needs to be repeated (validated) for a shitload of players at a shitload of levels. Every single one of those players will need to have a comprehensive assessment to determine concussion. If a foolproof or highly sensitive & scientifically valid method existed to do this yet, I think contact sports of all codes would be using the same test. They aren't. Then, assuming we come up with an awesome test suitable for hundreds of players, link it to the accelerometer data, we can establish a correlation between forces and concussion. We may not find any relationship whatsoever though and even though it's be frustrating, it'd still be more than we know now.
Then (and only then) will we know enough to start guessing (it'll still only be a guess for a really long time) what can be done to reduce them.
I don't want to be a naysayer, but as someone who has studied for a Masters degree in the relationship between workloads and injury in rugby union, I know the quality of available research in rugby, and I know scientific methodology.
This is a HUGE first step, but we might need to temper our expectations at some point.