Logically, Barker ought to win fairly comfortably. Home ground advantage matters, but not as much as Waverley needs it to. Barker just seems to have too much strength up front and while, in some past seasons, Waverley has been able to compensate for lack of size by playing a fast, wide game in the backs, this year's back line doesn't seem to have that little bit extra that others have had in the recent past.
But, but, but.
Trinity (who are 0 from 3) matched Barker in the first half, and showed that the side has real vulnerabilities. Barker's defence didn't regroup all that well on the counterattack (an area where Waverley is usually strong), and the outside backs made handling mistakes under not all that much pressure. So, while Barker goes in as deserved favourites, it's by no means an unbeatable side.
And, here's the thing. If we were in the ten-game competition, you'd have Barker marked down as winners already. Waverley hasn't been hugely convincing against Aloysius and Cranbrook, and Barker has the strength and depth to last out a long campaign. But this year we're back to sudden death. Everything can turn on a single game, and you know what they say about two-horse races.
Anyway, a huge game. Hope it lives up to the expectations. I'll be at Summer Hill, watching Trinity try to salvage something from a weird season in which they've beaten Joeys for only the second time ever, launched five NSW representatives and three Australian squad members, but don't seem able to win another match.