Hawko
Tony Shaw (54)
I think this match will be much closer than some people are saying, and I wouldn't be at all surprised if the Brumbies manage an upset win.
Firstly, the Crusaders preparation is still not great. Their training ground is unavailable, as is their home ground AMI stadium. Players like SBW are still staying with friends, unable to return to their earthquake damaged homes. This change to routine is bound to have a negative impact on the players' performances.
Secondly, after last weeks emotional build up culminating in the Tahs match, I expect the Crusaders to be somewhat flat. I expect the players to be emotionally drained, and this may also have a negative impact on performance. Excessive emotion can have the temporary effect of lifting players, but in the longerterm it can also leave them feeling drained. I fear this may happen to the Crusaders this week.
Thirdly, lets not forget that this is a very high quality Brumbies team. There's 13 test capped Wallabies in this Brumbies squad, and that staggeringly high number clearly illustrates the depth that the boys from the ACT have in their team. Genuinely world class players such as Matt Giteaum, Stephen Moore, Ben Alexander and AAC (Adam Ashley-Cooper) combine with a solid core of excellent established players, and rising stars such as Coleman, McCabe, Faigaa and Fainifo.
Lastly, historically clashes between these two teams have been very close, with wins evely shared. The head to head between the two teams is something like 10-8 to the Crusaders. The Brumbies have no fear of the Crusaders, and are one of the few teams in SANZAR that have consistently troubled the team from CHCH. Whilst the Brumbies recent record in NZ is not good, this match is not being played at fortress AMI, and the Brumbies continue to do very well against the Saders in Australia.
AC: Would you like to go back in time and amend your post?