I reckon we all need a bit of a reality check as to what FTA is likely to look at. Remembering that the lowest rating Saturday night Channel 10 has ever had in their history was a Wallaby v Argie game.
And based on Fox ratings, that's likely to be 4 to 5 times more popular than any Super rugby game.
No commercial TV station is going to be putting a super rugby game on their main channel in peak time.
You might get a secondary channel at peak, or the main channel at 3pm.
Similar to what A-League get, and that's seen as a massive failure with the league at historically low levels of interest ever since it got on commercial FTA.
Yes.
We keep talking here re the allegedly 'liberating' effect that placing more Super and club rugby on FTA will have - it's an unthinking self-confirmation bias myth unless and until the core weekly rugby product offering is massively improved to incent FTA's viewers to it, and this would mean:
- a higher standard of skills and team capability of Aust teams
- a radically revised and more locally or regionally biassed competition vs the ossified, dilapidated current Super Rugby model of today (that will, it seems, continue on post 2021 as well with only minor or secondary mods to it)
- almost certainly some local mods to the laws to 'speed up' the game on Aust FTA
To me, THE key challenge that R Castle had to deal with head on in Australian rugby was not: new Wallaby HC, handling Folau, trying to enhance post 2021 media $s, etc.
Rather it was and is: radically reform or entirely get out of the current disastrous Super Rugby format. That's simply because this format (combined with some other factors) in and of itself is slowly destroying fan and viewer engagement with the code here. All the lovely post 2021 media $s will not alter one iota the fundamental structural problems this dead format is causing and its preservation will ensure Australia rugby dives further toward a pro version abyss such that by (I'd estimate) 2022 both Super Rugby home crowds and viewership (on any medium) will be catastrophic leading to huge next order negative effects throughout the code.
It's now certain that Castle has not risen to this admittedly daunting and painful challenge as above. No one could say that challenge was simple or easy. But it was essential and she and RA have not delivered the collective strategic courage to do what they simply had to do (but that is nothing new, RA is just playing to its poor code leadership form since c. 2003).