What do we think of our position in the comp if: Brums bt Lions next game, putting them on 30 pts (maybe more with 4 tries) and we lose v Blues and stay on 21 points (again, subject to Bps that we have really struggled to get unlike other Aus teams)?
This scenario would mean we'd have to win - net - more than 2 more games overall than the Brums for the rest of the season to head the Aus comp at the end pre finals. (And the Tahs are now ahead of us by essentially 1 win.) Arguably, we have the harder teams to play out against from here compared to the Brums. (And then a lot of course depends upon how the Tahs do from here on, but it's the current points gaps we have to focus on as of today.)
It gets easier if we win in Auckland, but this is shaping up for us as a genuinely, really truly, positively, absolutely, no bullshit must win game as it's likely the Brums will beat the hapless Lions, and it could be a 5 point table win too.