Betting tips: AKA I'm crazy and think this team is undervalued

[Nusadan]

Super Rugby Betting Tips...

• Never bet on a team without its key playmaker
• Never bet on a team without their Captain playing
• Never bet on a game with a Rookie Ref
• Avoid betting against starting points greater than a converted try 7points
• Always check the weather before placing the bet
• Always check the latest team list before placing a bet
• Always bet on game day for current team information
• Avoid betting on a loosing form team even at home
• Avoid betting on a team on its 3rd straight away game
• Select the dominate home team between 1-12 margin if teams are evenly matched
• In wet weather choose the home team when possible

Would you then bet on Force beating the Hurricanes this weekend?

 

[Jnor]

I actually might

 

[mudskipper]

Would you then bet on Force beating the Hurricanes this weekend?

No I wouldn't bet on that game, 3rd away for the Canes and Force on form... Its to hard to pick but if your a force supporter I'd take the handicap...

 

[Braveheart81]

The Force are just the underdogs at $1.95. That's pretty good if you ask me.

The other bet that looks appealing is the Highlanders at $1.80. As much as I want the Tahs to win, I'd have thought the Highlanders would be shorter priced favourites than that.

 

[Nusadan]

No I wouldn't bet on that game, 3rd away for the Canes and Force on form... Its to hard to pick but if your a force supporter I'd take the handicap...

Force 2.00, Hurricanes 1.70....hmmm....

 

[Nusadan]

Also whilst Crusaders are at 1.40, the Chiefs are at 2.65!!!

 

[meatsack]

Force are even with the Canes on sportingbet at the moment. ($1.90)

First scan of the odds, I can't see anything that jumps out to me, at least until I see CRUvCHI team lists. I'm starting to think for the first time this season I might pick a favourite who I think is undervalued. The Bulls at $1.47 for just a win against a weirdly struggling Blues is interesting.

 

[mudskipper]

Force 2.00, Hurricanes 1.70....hmmm....

So this is easy to pick? I recommend to use someone elses money

 

[Tangawizi]

Tarts look good value at $3 for 1-12. Roll that into England in the 6 Nations at $3.10, Reds 8+, Ireland and Wales and that'll do nicely for the weekend.

 

[mudskipper]

Also whilst Crusaders are at 1.40, the Chiefs are at 2.65!!!

Chiefs were very good on the weekend and Crusaders are still mixing it up to make up their 15... I think the Chiefs could take this one...

 

[meatsack]

I know its dumb to post now, but I forgot to post here before the round... the Brumbies were my 'undervalued' tip of the week. (I did post it on whirlpool though).

Anyway I think they punched well above their $5.50, so I'm not ashamed at all.

 

[liquor box]

Got on Reds +10.5@$1.45 GO YOU GOOD THINGS

 

[AngrySeahorse]

After tonight I can tell you the Tahs at $1.14 (which my Ma blew her multi on & thus wants swift pain on the Tahs next round, lol) was a massive case of overvalued (though looking at the Force in the prior week you really couldnt have picked the Tahs losing - though some on here did!).

What do people think of the Sharks/Reds tonight (I mean this morning)? Ma is going for Sharks at $1.60 for the straight win. I've left this one alone - cant pick it. Reds at $2.25, considering their good form last year in SA may tempt some.

 

[AngrySeahorse]

Just got Willie as 1st try scorer! YAYYYYY!!!!!!

 

[Tangawizi]

Centrebet have had a thing going this year where if you bet on a player to be last try scorer and he scored a try that isn't the last one, they refund your bet.

So Dom Shipperley from the Reds has been magic at that so far. 3 times last try scorer (Tahs, Rebels & Force) and I think would've refunded one other week too. He has been paying between $15-$11 too but will probably tighten up a bit now.