The Red Baron
Chilla Wilson (44)
With so much focus on the race for the Super Rugby finals, I decided a change of tack was in order. Shifting my attention to the bottom of the ladder, there are 3 clear candidates for the Super Rugby wooden spoon this year, and the rivalry is intense.
The bottom of the ladder as it stands is:
W L F A D BP Points
Blues 3 12 329 414 -85 8 28
Force 3 12 282 402 -120 7 27
Lions 3 12 297 423 -126 5 25
Only a couple of points separate these teams. This weekends fixtures are:
Blues vs Brumbies
Force vs Crusaders
Lions vs Bulls
The most likely scenario is that all three of these teams will be flogged, and hence the bottom of the ladder will stay exactly the way it is now. However;
If the Blues lose to the Brumbies, and the Force AND Lions gain wins, then the Spoon will head to Auckland.
If the Lions win against the Bulls, and the Force lose against the Crusaders, then the Spoon will head to Perth. Anything the Blues do will not affect the Forces chance of the spoon here. They are masters of their own destiny!
The Lions need a win to avoid the Spoon. But they also require both the Blues and Force to lose IF the Lions want to avoid the spoon finding a new home in Johannesburg.
Now there is a possibility that the Rebels would do the back to back. This scenario relies on the Force and Blues notching up wins, the Lions securing a bonus point win over the Bulls, and the Rebels losing without a bonus point to the Stormers. As the Rebels are on 30 points, the Lions would draw level with them on points and wins. The Lions, with a superior for/against than the Rebels, would climb to 14th.
Basically, all three main spoon contenders would have to win, with the Lions winning well, in order for the Rebels to secure their second ever spoon!
Fascinating stuff! Who will win the Super Rugby Wooden Spoon in 2012 and why?
The bottom of the ladder as it stands is:
W L F A D BP Points
Blues 3 12 329 414 -85 8 28
Force 3 12 282 402 -120 7 27
Lions 3 12 297 423 -126 5 25
Only a couple of points separate these teams. This weekends fixtures are:
Blues vs Brumbies
Force vs Crusaders
Lions vs Bulls
The most likely scenario is that all three of these teams will be flogged, and hence the bottom of the ladder will stay exactly the way it is now. However;
If the Blues lose to the Brumbies, and the Force AND Lions gain wins, then the Spoon will head to Auckland.
If the Lions win against the Bulls, and the Force lose against the Crusaders, then the Spoon will head to Perth. Anything the Blues do will not affect the Forces chance of the spoon here. They are masters of their own destiny!
The Lions need a win to avoid the Spoon. But they also require both the Blues and Force to lose IF the Lions want to avoid the spoon finding a new home in Johannesburg.
Now there is a possibility that the Rebels would do the back to back. This scenario relies on the Force and Blues notching up wins, the Lions securing a bonus point win over the Bulls, and the Rebels losing without a bonus point to the Stormers. As the Rebels are on 30 points, the Lions would draw level with them on points and wins. The Lions, with a superior for/against than the Rebels, would climb to 14th.
Basically, all three main spoon contenders would have to win, with the Lions winning well, in order for the Rebels to secure their second ever spoon!
Fascinating stuff! Who will win the Super Rugby Wooden Spoon in 2012 and why?